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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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As ARCC said the core of Irma is still intact so if it pops back out over water soon strengthening could/should occur. If the core is disrupted then it will have a harder time reorganizing. It's a challenging forecast at this point especially with the north turn and the potential to parallel Florida to the west. I don't envy the NHC at all

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If people here cared what another forum had to say, we would be there reading. You have the best of the best right here. Read more here, post more over there....it might help them out.
Could be one of my favorite post of all time.... 10000000+ likes
 
One thing that is increasing is the threat for tornadoes in east Ga and the carolinas. Only using the nam for the sim radar but that band on the eastern flank is going to be mean.
27153f64cbb96d144dffcbffaffa29d6.jpg


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One thing that is increasing is the threat for tornadoes in east Ga and the carolinas. Only using the nam for the sim radar but that band on the eastern flank is going to be mean.
27153f64cbb96d144dffcbffaffa29d6.jpg


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What about CAD?


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Tuesday could be a raw day in Alabama with highs in the 50s a howling N to NW wind and rain falling

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If people here cared what another forum had to say, we would be there reading. You have the best of the best right here. Read more here, post more over there....it might help them out.
Amen!!!! Post of the year!!
Thank you!
 
One thing that is increasing is the threat for tornadoes in east Ga and the carolinas. Only using the nam for the sim radar but that band on the eastern flank is going to be mean.
27153f64cbb96d144dffcbffaffa29d6.jpg


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Torcon of 6 for me Monday!
 
Tuesday could be a raw day in Alabama with highs in the 50s a howling N to NW wind and rain falling

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If I have power, perhaps I'll make a pot of chili Tuesday.

Edit: Oh yeah, I have a gas cooktop, so can make chili even without power (maybe).
 
What about CAD?


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Any residual dry air will be eroded by the SE flow around the center of Irma. Any where east of the center will see dew points jump into the 60s/70 for some areas it will be a short period as the system starts to wrap dry continental air in during the ET transition

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As ARCC said the core of Irma is still intact so if it pops back out over water soon strengthening could/should occur. If the core is disrupted then it will have a harder time reorganizing. It's a challenging forecast at this point especially with the north turn and the potential to parallel Florida to the west. I don't envy the NHC at all

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I don't either. Still a very challenging forecast
 
First tornado warning in Florida, from Irmas outer bands!
 
Eye visible on Key West long range radar, nothing wrong with inner core of Irma, unfortunately will have no problem rebounding from it's Cuban visit....
 
Eye visible on Key West long range radar, nothing wrong with inner core of Irma, unfortunately will have no problem rebounding from it's Cuban visit....
I am interested to see if it really goes into Cuba that much.
 
NHC has a lot of explaining to do. Just last night they basically said interaction with Cuba wouldnt have much impact on Cuba, despite knowing full well it would be interacting with Cuba for a fairly long time.
Oh yeah? Because this storm has always behaved EXACTLY as all the models have said it would? Please.:rolleyes:
 
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