Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

[deltadog03]

Notice how Irma is also growing in size

 

[WeatherWatch]

Yes, flooding won't be an issue for TN. Irma won't be no where near like Harvey. Irma is likely to dissipate as the drag from the land weakens Irma to a remnant low and eventually into nothing at all pretty much. Area's south of TN can experience flash floods, but not widespread. The widespread flooding will be confined along the coasts.

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[Shawn]

FWIW... the 18z NAVGEM tracked it off the West coast of FL into the panhandle.

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Notice how Irma is also growing in size

Appears to have almost doubled in size geez last few hours

 

[dsaur]

One more like this and the Big Bend will be in play ...

An

It's a possible bad scene for SW GA and int C AL, but the Big Bend is probably a stretch -- this west shift has to stop at some point...

Wouldn't take much for you and me to be out of the worst of it. This is some crazy dithering. T

 

[deltadog03]

Appears to have almost doubled in size geez last few hours

Agreed I think some people are downplaying this once it goes inland. I’m not trying to scare anyone but I don’t think this is going to act like any ordinary TC to ET

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Ukie takes the W route through FL barely onshore

 

[stboo6]

FWIW thanks for keeping us lurkers updated.

 

[deltadog03]

So I actually might stay up late for euro. What does it run again? Lol

 

[deltadog03]

Ukie takes the W route through FL barely onshore

Like a Naples area?

 

[Xtreme Weather]

So I actually might stay up late for euro. What does it run again? Lol

I ain't LoL I think 2a

 

[WeatherWatch]

So I actually might stay up late for euro. What does it run again? Lol

It starts running about 2am eastern

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[vtrap90]

FWIW thanks for keeping us lurkers updated.

Amen brother

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Like a Naples area?

Yes basically along the last nhc track

 

[Xtreme Weather]

 

[stboo6]

Amen brother

sister

 

[SoutheastRidge]

I ain't LoL I think 2a

it will only be 1am where you are

 

[Xtreme Weather]

it will only be 1am where you are

Yea but last I knew Chris in Macon area why i said 2 LoL

 

[deltadog03]

ugh..ok, maybe not

 

[SoutheastRidge]

ugh..ok, maybe not

Get some rest. Long day tomorrow and you need your sleep.

 

[dsaur]

Agreed I think some people are downplaying this once it goes inland. I’m not trying to scare anyone but I don’t think this is going to act like any ordinary TC to ET

It's been a Cat 5, and maybe again....it's tasted human flesh...it's a rabid beast...it won't act ordinary, I don't think T

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Irma refuses to go inland over Cuba just cruising the barrier islands

 

[Stormlover]

It's been a Cat 5, and maybe again....it's tasted human flesh...it's a rabid beast...it won't act ordinary, I don't think T

It's a cat 5 NOW

 

[champal3003]

This will put Irma at least top 3, pretty historic storm.

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

Irma refuses to go inland over Cuba just cruising the barrier islands

which could mean BIG trouble as far as weakening goes.. im still not sold that the GOM isnt in play at this time.

 

[Arcc]

No wonder the GFS bombs it out, massive outflow channel to the north by hr 36.

 

[Xtreme Weather]

Whoa 0z shifted W barely onshore most barely into Cuba initializing about where it is/was

 

[SD]

Irma refuses to go inland over Cuba just cruising the barrier islands

Looks like it might be starting the north turn or at least gaining a northward component

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[Jackstraw]

I know these CIMMS maps are not an entirely accurate representation of the atmosphere but I just can't get over this one. This is the most insane steering map I have ever seen and I've been using these maps since they became available. Nuts.

 

[Jackstraw]

Looks like it might be starting the north turn or at least gaining a northward component

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If that basketball bounce is the turn north I surrender, insert the fork I'm done lmao
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/11L/flash-avn-long.html

 

[PEA_RIDGE]

Looks like it might be starting the north turn or at least gaining a northward component

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im still thinking its got more westward ticks to it then northern

 

[accu35]

Fell asleep while watching a movie with my family. Plus i missed out on the gfs run. Up now for the Euro

 

[accu35]

im still thinking its got more westward ticks to it then northern

its a tick SW

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

GFS and Canadian both east of previous runs to once inland

 

[accu35]

Whoa 0z shifted W barely onshore most barely into Cuba initializing about where it is/was

Good chance Irma stays off shore of Florida riding up abit

 

[Meteorologist1999]

GFS and Canadian both east of previous runs to once inland

Could be further inland and give SC more Storms/ and Rainbands per GFS And CMC!!

 

[NWMSGuy]

Sorry guys, behind on everything. ...got some friends in Vera, FL where do they stand.

 

[Jackstraw]

Fell asleep while watching a movie with my family. Plus i missed out on the gfs run. Up now for the Euro

If you don't mind Where's the 300mb vorticity on the 00Z run at 4am Sun. ? 12Z had it roughly on the northern Gulf between Pensacola and NOLA.

 

[Jackstraw]

Fell asleep while watching a movie with my family. Plus i missed out on the gfs run. Up now for the Euro

Crap just looked at the time, thought the Euro was running lmao. Maybe I should go to sleep

 

[Jackstraw]

But I can't, I gotta know!