-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)
- Thread starter Snowfan
- Start date
- Status
La Plata
Member
Tampa and Sarasota get 6HRs+ of 130mph winds. The surge will just pile up. Atlanta metro MUCH more impacted with higher gusts in the more populated areas than previous runs. Inland in Florida...Orlando gets about 10mph less in max winds, but the Central FL counties East of Tampa gets MUCH higher winds. Places that would've gotten 65-85mph winds are now getting 125-130mph. Catastrophic. But I'm just not buying how the Euro runs Irma over Cuba the way she does. Yes, I know she is barely on-shore and part of the time off-shore, but some of the areas the Euro has her going over actually does have some elevation. I think the Euro is a bit too far south. We shall see.
- Joined
- Sep 4, 2017
- Messages
- 216
- Reaction score
- 260
Kinda makes sense. The divergent flow thats been over S. Fl. has now moved NW off the coast of TPA. Looking for divergent flow as a system approaches the edge of a ridge is an old trick John Hope used to emphasise. I always have taken his word as gospel. After all, he added his daughters name to the list of hurricane names when she graduated high school in 69 and her name just happened to be Camille
La Plata
Member
which day
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 8,660
- Reaction score
- 10,817
Which day what?
- Joined
- Sep 4, 2017
- Messages
- 216
- Reaction score
- 260
Don't know if it was mid level shear or dry air but Irma just took the biggest hit she's had since she originally became a cat 4 before the islands. literally knocked the wind out of her.
EastAtlwx
Meteorologist
here is what i found for 12Z sunday
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 8,660
- Reaction score
- 10,817
Lol, thanks man. I was talking about the OZ eps that will come in about another hr or sohere is what i found for 12Z sunday
La Plata
Member
Full wind maps.
will get it up when it pops up my bad. thought you were referring to now
- Joined
- Sep 4, 2017
- Messages
- 216
- Reaction score
- 260
That makes more sense to me about dissapating the energy of this storm than what they were showing this afternoon. 160 to TS in 24 hour with no crazy winds and fairly light precip, I couldn't figure it out. but then again I loop with a cup holder lol. Thanks!
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 8,660
- Reaction score
- 10,817
Its all good. Its been a long 2 weeks tracking this lady. Ready to track to my winterstorms
where did you locate this?
- Joined
- Sep 4, 2017
- Messages
- 216
- Reaction score
- 260
I'm out. Lived on Indian Rocks Beach for 10 years. I am very seriously saying god forbid this thing cranks into Pinellas county as a Cat 4 or higher. Its been 80 years or so and the last time the bay and the ocean met in the middle of the county. Peace!
La Plata
Member
Wx Bell
CBrown
Member
Got friends in Pinellas. Not sure yet if they left or not. Will contact them tomorrow.
from Ryan Maue on twitter. "Eastern Gulf of Mexico ocean temperatures (SST) are bath water just like Straits of Florida. Some vertical shear won't overcome this fuel."
Ya, last nights run, to compare was 980mb over South central GA....tonights is like over SW GA at 975mb
MAP
ATLCT
Member
While it's slow, just wanted to say thanks for the info from someone who has been lurking around some of you guys since several years ago on another board. Always a lot of good info and I've learned a ton, even though I still feel clueless a lot of the time. I'll be happy to throw you guys a few bucks soon. Y'all are great.
Back to lurking. Thanks again.
Edit: Done...donated
Back to lurking. Thanks again.
Edit: Done...donated
Last edited:
dang, a little more time over water like that....also makes us folks inland have even more issues with wind and water as well.
Claycochaser
Member
Her eyes about to be completely offshore again and cloud tops are already cooling.
Uh oh. That sounds like Irma finished her tour of the Cuba coast and is ready to turn up. Praying those on the west side of Florida prepped.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
gawxnative
Member
Not making light of any human costs with Irma, but agriculture losses may be historic. Many may not know, but Florida has a diverse agriculture "footprint" Cattle, row crops and of course citrus. South GA, includes, peanuts, pecans, cotton and other row crops.
gawxnative
Member
Well from LSP Icons on GR.. Most of Keys getting TS force sustained.now
Showmeyourtds
Member
Wow that's some warm water in the Eastern GOM....Lordy mercy
Sure wish I didn't have to close on my house and move during this! Didn't calculate this in the time crunch and not sure what to expect. Yikes!!
MichaelJ
Member
This track is almost as bad as the orginal east coast track the GFS had as far as population and even worse for surge. Yes Miami-Lauderdale have arounf 6 million but Tampa has over 3 and then Fort myers has 3/4 of a million, Naples half a million and so on... Problem is there is quite a bit of experience with strong storms hitting SE Fl, no so much with Tampa so we are not sure what the impacts will be like of a strong cat 3 or weak cat 4 storm (possibly even higher)
ForsythSnow
Moderator
8 am advisory has Irma at 130. I expect a false sense of relief
Storm5
Member
I see the 00z Euro went even further SW into Georgia . Hard NW turn has been showing up for days . Looks like we are headed that way
Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
ForsythSnow
Moderator
It seems that because of the SW movement, N GA is looking worse for winds. I don't know what that could do.I see the 00z Euro went even further SW into Georgia . Hard NW turn has been showing up for days . Looks like we are headed that way
Sent from my SM-J320VPP using Tapatalk
- Status