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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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6z GFS Wind gusts

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GaWx said:
Based on King of 1950 as a likely weaker analog, I'd say that would probably be the case in S GA...probably cat 1 though outside chance it is still cat 2 far S GA. It almost definitely would go down to a TS well before ATL and maybe even below MCN a good ways. I think you'd probably be looking at a rare for MCN formidable TS.
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Gotcha. I agree. I do think cat 1 very possible for GA. Sub 980mb pressures. Pretty rare for us
 
That's going to be like a strong tornado across the whole state of Florida. I don't know why anyone would stay there.
 
Judging by the models I can't think of a much worst case scenario for Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina then what is being shown right now.


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This is probably the most extreme member of the EPS for GA. If that were to verify, lights out for almost the whole state. Not going to but damn.

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WXinCanton said:
This is probably the most extreme member of the EPS for GA. If that were to verify, lights out for almost the whole state. Not going to but damn.

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Wow. Never say never....this is Irma. But would think that'a a low low chance. Did this model keep it over water instead of riding central FL??


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MBell said:
Wow. Never say never....this is Irma. But would think that'a a low low chance. Did this model keep it over water instead of riding central FL??


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Just looked it's not that extreme, it just took the center around or just into AL by I20. So if this thing ends in the west side of the cone then could be possible. :/
 
ForsythSnow said:
He's been under a rock. Either that or his brain is a big rock. It's impossible Georgia won't have power outages, and it is also looking like the Gulf is more poasible this morning.
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Why do you say that? That would be a game changer!


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DustinWX said:
Why do you say that? That would be a game changer!


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Irma seems way too big to not cause some form of power outages over the southern 2/3 of Georgia. I doubt there won't be outages around Atlanta or just south of. He was wrong about Harvey from what I have heard, and it sounds like he may be about Irma. For all we know, Irma could go into the Gulf and head right for Alabama. I would like to hear what he would have to say if it does.
 
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