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Tropical Major Hurricane Irma (Part 1)

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06z gefs shifted back west
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If it keeps going further west that could just keep it in the water longer and make it stronger.
 
Just talked to a friend that was in Miami on vacation. He left Miami yesterday at lunchtime and he just called me from warner Robbins Ga. 75 dead stopped. I looked up directions to get him off interstate and some back roads.
 
Snow_chaser said:
Just talked to a friend that was in Miami on vacation. He left Miami yesterday at lunchtime and he just called me from warner Robbins Ga. 75 dead stopped. I looked up directions to get him off interstate and some back roads.
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Ya tell him to take hwy 41
 
If the entire eye of Irma makes it into the gulf, wouldn't we be in for rapid intensification? I keep seeing a west shift and this is my biggest concern. How far west will she go? Don't get me wrong, it's concerning regardless of Irma's path, I just would think tapping into the gulf would make matters much worse.
 
I do think there will be widespread power issues especially south of Atlanta but even in Atlanta. Euro has some areas of 70-90mph wind gusts. Ummmm with 2-4” of rain maybe more. We shall see I guess right?
 
To me one of the worse things about a hurricane becoming a monster Cat 5 with 185 mph winds as Irma did, aside from the damage obviously, is when it weakens to a still very dangerous and powerful Cat 4 or even a 3 there seems to be this collective sigh of relief. Almost an well it's weakened so it won't be that bad type of thinking..... this is dangerous thinking.
 
Irma may bend west here shortly but if it doesn't in a couple of hours it will pass just north of NHC forecast point, nothing major I know but it's been mentioned numerous times any shift in path 50 miles or so is big deal
 
metwannabe said:
To me one of the worse things about a hurricane becoming a monster Cat 5 with 185 mph winds as Irma did, aside from the damage obviously, is when it weakens to a still very dangerous and powerful Cat 4 or even a 3 there seems to be this collective sigh of relief. Almost an well it's weakened so it won't be that bad type of thinking..... this is dangerous thinking.
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I agree. Irma is giving off this flasr sense of hope by weakening so fast over the last 12 to 24 hours, but in reality, the hurricane models had this happen, and Irma will gain or at least maintain intensity until landfall. It also still means a cat 4 minimum at landfall, or basically hurricane Andrew intensity hitting Miami and/or South Florida.
 
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