Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

[Henry2326]

A turn in the bubble eastward

 

[Henry2326]

Good grief.....give this some credibility. If this verifies, it would mow down far inland.

 

[NoSnowATL]

Good grief.....give this some credibility. If this verifies, it would mow down far inland.

View attachment 151423

Thats old. 6z is out

 

[NoSnowATL]

 

[NoSnowATL]

Moving NE

 

[Downeastnc]

Going to be a lot of back and forth with the east and west solutions, 06Z GFS back to Pensacola due north with the system into west TN. ICON was faster and further NE though at 06Z...

 

[NoSnowATL]

We are def watching it down here in PCB. Strong storms tend to go east so hope she gets to a Cat 5. I just ask for 2-3in of rain from it. Just need a center.

 

[Henry2326]

Thats old. 6z is out

It's going to go back and forth, further west and then back east until a center is established. Could be any of these solutions at this point.

 

[Henry2326]

So no need to consider MS/LA solutions.

 

[tractor girl]

 

[ForsythSnow]

So no need to consider MS/LA solutions.

View attachment 151426

You can see the modeling picking up on the phasing with the jet stream more on the ENS as you can every major model. That's likely what's making the size of this storm so massive and will only cause more rain and wind inland than normal.

 

[GaWx]

6Z EPS mean shifted slightly W of its 0Z run mean (now a little W of AL/GA border vs about on that border)

 

[GaWx]

6Z Euro-AI shifted ~50 miles NW of its 0Z with it coming in to the middle of the Big Bend vs the far rt portion of it on the 0Z

 

[NWMSGuy]

LOL. Although the outlier and regardless of pressure, the Korean is remaining consistent on an LA hit.

 

[accu35]

6Z EPS mean shifted slightly W of its 0Z run mean (now a little W of AL/GA border vs about on that border)

A you post the image please?

 

[Snow_chaser]

LOL. Although the outlier and regardless of pressure, the Korean is remaining consistent on an LA hit.

View attachment 151428

That Korean model wants some gumbo lol

 

[HugeSnowStick]

LOL. Although the outlier and regardless of pressure, the Korean is remaining consistent on an LA hit.

View attachment 151428

Not with that upper low over Oklahoma.

 

[GaWx]

A you post the image please?

I can’t. It’s from a paid site.

 

[Arcc]

LOL. Although the outlier and regardless of pressure, the Korean is remaining consistent on an LA hit.

View attachment 151428

While the model is obviously wonky, I wouldn’t discount that solution.

 

[GaWx]

It isn’t finished, but the 12Z Icon is well E of its prior runs with it missing the Yucatan to the E for the first time.