Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

Jimmy Hypocracy · 2024-09-26T10:19:37-0400

DustinWx said:
Michael and Helene around the same areas. Look similar to me

If I remember correctly, Michael was in a rapid intensification phase all the way up until landfall. That one really turned on the afterburners.

Drizzle Snizzle · 2024-09-26T10:20:27-0400

Snowflowxxl said:
Only a million lost power with Zeta and that was a direct hit for ATL. This will miss us East by a good bit. I don’t expect bad power outages

Yeah this is definitely not going to be anything like Hugo was in Charlotte for Atlanta.

Snowflowxxl · 2024-09-26T10:23:16-0400

Drizzle Snizzle said:
Yeah this is definitely not going to be anything like Hugo was in Charlotte for Atlanta.

The fear mongering by some on Twitter was a bit much yesterday. Looking like 4-6 inches of rain and 30-40 mph gust.

EmersonGA · 2024-09-26T10:23:20-0400

Snowflowxxl said:
Atlanta area schools let out for some mist today.

A lot are on fall break or will have it next week. I agree it's BS but I'm sure that was the thinking of some people.

Drizzle Snizzle · 2024-09-26T10:25:02-0400

Snowflowxxl said:
The fear mongering by some on Twitter was a bit much yesterday. Looking like 4-6 inches of rain and 30-40 mph gust.

I mean it will be a decent storm for Atlanta but it's not going to be Armageddon. I do think some areas will lose power.

HugeSnowStick · 2024-09-26T10:26:13-0400

Snowflowxxl said:
Only a million lost power with Zeta and that was a direct hit for ATL. This will miss us East by a good bit. I don’t expect bad power outages

I'm going to save this, just in case. A good bit, 40, 50, 60 miles? That will still rock Atlanta with very high winds and torrential rains, the ground is now saturated, and even 40 to 50 mph is enough to cause power outages and tree damage.

superjames1992 · 2024-09-26T10:27:25-0400

Wild Weather Monger said:
A tick NW of the 06Z run, but yet again, east of the NHC cone. Yes, it's the NAM, yada, yada, yada. This is a 15-hour forecast.
View attachment 151966

Damn, that track would wreck Cedar Key.

Historically, that’s an unlikely place for a hurricane to make landfall, IIRC (the area north of Tampa to the Big Bend). I’ve seen some projected to but that area and track elsewhere in the end (i.e. Charlie - 2004).

Snowflowxxl · 2024-09-26T10:28:03-0400

HugeSnowStick said:
I'm going to save this, just in case. A good bit, 40, 50, 60 miles? That will still rock Atlanta with very high winds and torrential rains, the ground is now saturated, and even 40 to 50 mph is enough to cause power outages and tree damage.

Atlanta will be on the far weaker west side. I’m thinking 30-40.

Drizzle Snizzle · 2024-09-26T10:29:06-0400

Snowflowxxl said:
Atlanta will be on the far weaker west side. I’m thinking 30-40.

Where my dad lives in Carrollton probably won't get more than 30 mph.

HugeSnowStick · 2024-09-26T10:29:33-0400

Snowflowxxl said:
Atlanta will be on the far weaker west side. I’m thinking 30-40.

You are forgetting the northern wall, which will have significant punch.

RoddyPiper · 2024-09-26T10:29:55-0400

Huge blowup of towers on the north side of the circulation. COC has been moving almost due north over the last 45 minutes.

DustinWx · 2024-09-26T10:29:57-0400

No hurricane force FL winds in NW quad

Henry2326 · 2024-09-26T10:30:44-0400

Snowflowxxl said:
Only a million lost power with Zeta and that was a direct hit for ATL. This will miss us East by a good bit. I don’t expect bad power outages

Was talking with the west track.

k0skinne · 2024-09-26T10:31:20-0400

In my limited experience with tropical systems, the strong winds this far inland have seemed to come from the bands … perhaps mixing down. With Opal, memory serves (may not be completely accurate) that we had several inland spin-ups as well. That one hit me hard in Carrollton. Just my 2 cents … probably not worth that. Be safe everyone … prepare for worst and pray for best!

Drizzle Snizzle · 2024-09-26T10:32:24-0400

k0skinne said:
In my limited experience with tropical systems, the strong winds this far inland have seemed to come from the bands … perhaps mixing down. With Opal, memory serves (may not be completely accurate) that we had several inland spin-ups as well. That one hit me hard in Carrollton. Just my 2 cents … probably not worth that. Be safe everyone … prepare for worst and pray for best!

I was in Carrollton for Opal and we had at least 70 mph winds. Many houses on my street had trees fall on them.

lj0109 · 2024-09-26T10:33:32-0400

accu35 · 2024-09-26T10:33:52-0400

@Shawn good call on the eastward trend since yesterday. Big eye, big storm will cover lots of our posters on here.

Belle Lechat · 2024-09-26T10:34:17-0400

I cut and pasted from the right image into the left and drew out the orange line to show the updated center.

RoddyPiper · 2024-09-26T10:35:38-0400

We will have an eye on VIS in the next couple of hours

Stormsfury · 2024-09-26T10:35:51-0400

RoddyPiper said:
Huge blowup of towers on the north side of the circulation. COC has been moving almost due north over the last 45 minutes.

Been moving NNE per RECON, last pass was a little right, more NE than NNE. Almost close to 85.5°W already, way earlier than NHC.

Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

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