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Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

It's quite funny when you think about it. ULLs of this magntitude are quite rare at this latitude for this time of the year and it just happens to be diving southward at the same time a potent tropical cyclone(a big one at that) is forming in the gulf. What's the chances of this all occuring at the same time? It's this very rare set up that has the potential to be one for the ages for much of GA up through Upstate SC and the southern Appalachians. Sometimes, it really just all comes together. It's a shame this can't happen in the winter for a once in a lifetime snowstorm.
 
Henry2326 said:
Yep, it has been all week on the HWRF and HMON.
I've been expecting this all week. I live on the west side of Atlanta. It's gonna be brutal. Moved from Charleston hoping to never be in this situation again. I would have left Charleston with pressure less than 965. No where to go....The irony of it......

View attachment 151853
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955 around Canton/Dawsonville

Heck.
 
NCZ071-260515-
/O.NEW.KGSP.TR.W.1009.240925T2106Z-000000T0000Z/
Mecklenburg-
506 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

A Tropical Storm Warning means tropical storm-force winds are
expected somewhere within this area within the next 36 hours

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
- Charlotte
- Huntersville
- Matthews

* WIND
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
- Peak Wind Forecast: 20-30 mph with gusts to 50 mph

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for wind 39
to 57 mph
- The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Plan for hazardous wind of equivalent tropical storm
force.
- PREPARE: Efforts to protect property should now be
underway. Prepare for limited wind damage.
- ACT: Act now to complete preparations before the wind
becomes hazardous.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
- Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees
are shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown
over.
- A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within
urban or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving
conditions on bridges and other elevated roadways.
- Scattered power and communications outages.

* FLOODING RAIN
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Peak Rainfall Amounts: Additional 1-3 inches, with locally
higher amounts

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for
moderate flooding rain
- The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
the previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for
moderate flooding from heavy rain. Evacuations and rescues
are possible.
- PREPARE: Consider protective actions if you are in an area
vulnerable to flooding.
- ACT: Heed any flood watches and warnings. Failure to take
action may result in serious injury or loss of life.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Significant
- Moderate rainfall flooding may prompt several evacuations
and rescues.
- Rivers and tributaries may quickly become swollen with
swifter currents and overspill their banks in a few places,
especially in usually vulnerable spots. Small streams,
creeks, canals, arroyos, and ditches overflow.
- Flood waters can enter some structures or weaken
foundations. Several places may experience expanded areas
of rapid inundation at underpasses, low-lying spots, and
poor drainage areas. Some streets and parking lots take on
moving water as storm drains and retention ponds overflow.
Driving conditions become hazardous. Some road and bridge
closures.

* TORNADO
- LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
- Situation is somewhat favorable for tornadoes

- THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Potential for a few
tornadoes
- The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
previous assessment.
- PLAN: Emergency plans should include the potential for a
few tornadoes.
- PREPARE: If your shelter is particularly vulnerable to
tornadoes, prepare to relocate to safe shelter before
hazardous weather arrives.
- ACT: If a tornado warning is issued, be ready to shelter
quickly.

- POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Limited
- The occurrence of isolated tornadoes can hinder the
execution of emergency plans during tropical events.
- A few places may experience tornado damage, along with
power and communications disruptions.
- Locations could realize roofs peeled off buildings,
chimneys toppled, mobile homes pushed off foundations or
overturned, large tree tops and branches snapped off,
shallow-rooted trees knocked over, moving vehicles blown
off roads, and small boats pulled from moorings.
 
Playing catchup this afternoon and every 3rd post is crying about the NHC doing what they are supposed to do…generate a forecast using every tool they have. Just because they don’t forecast it into your backyard when a couple of Global models show something similar doesn’t mean you should be up in arms about it. Most of you wouldn’t know what the globals were showing if they weren’t posted here anyway. (Drop a 🤡 emoji if that’s you) Ok rant over. Things looking like they are about to ramp up…dry are will be completely ingested soon and may clear out an eye on the process!
 
Last edited:
Pulled the generator out of storage. My dad gave it to me before he passed. He taught me to take care of equipment. I replaced the carb 5 years ago haven't started it since. Had the fuel off, and ran it dry when it was parked. Had to tickle it with a little ether but she started right up and runs great (with 5 year old "Sta-bilized" gas!!)



I hope by starting it, I've jinxed the system into being shredded by dry air off the coast of FL.


Right now, though, Athens continues to remain in the line of fire (eastern quad) with latest guidance. Starting to get a little real...
 
tractor girl said:
Pulled the generator out of storage. My dad gave it to me before he passed. He taught me to take care of equipment. I replaced the carb 5 years ago haven't started it since. Had the fuel off, and ran it dry when it was parked. Had to tickle it with a little ether but she started right up and runs great (with 5 year old "Sta-bilized" gas!!)



I hope by starting it, I've jinxed the system into being shredded by dry air off the coast of FL.


Right now, though, Athens continues to remain in the line of fire (eastern quad) with latest guidance. Starting to get a little real...
Click to expand...


Usually the failure points are old ethanol gas in the carb, gunking up the jets and the gaskets breaking down/rotting. Shutting the fuel off and running it dry is a good idea and also, stabil is okay for the tank itself.. but over long times, if it's a plastic tank, it picks up moisture from all the humidity we get so i would recommend draining that after long periods too.

#1 KEY: OIL. ALWAYS CHECK OIL IN THOSE GENERATORS AND CHANGE IT FREQUENTLY.
 
HugeSnowStick said:
Many, many neighbors are going to sleep in their basements tomorrow night.
Click to expand...
We are. Had a giant pine next to my house snap off at the base in a storm in August. Fell exactly 180 degrees away from my house, but if it had fallen the other way I wouldn’t be typing this right now. Not taking any chances tomorrow night
 
LovingGulfLows said:
It's quite funny when you think about it. ULLs of this magntitude are quite rare at this latitude for this time of the year and it just happens to be diving southward at the same time a potent tropical cyclone(a big one at that) is forming in the gulf. What's the chances of this all occuring at the same time? It's this very rare set up that has the potential to be one for the ages for much of GA up through Upstate SC and the southern Appalachians. Sometimes, it really just all comes together. It's a shame this can't happen in the winter for a once in a lifetime snowstorm.
Click to expand...
It's called the fujikiwara effect
 
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