• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

There's no way this system maintains a CAT 3 (or even 2) as far up as ATL. I mean, if that DID happen it would be really bad esp for folks west of ATL (assuming the tracks even remain as they are - a lot is up in the air with Yucatan partial or full landfall)
 
tractor girl said:
There's no way this system maintains a CAT 3 (or even 2) as far up as ATL. I mean, if that DID happen it would be really bad esp for folks west of ATL (assuming the tracks even remain as they are - a lot is up in the air with Yucatan partial or full landfall)
Click to expand...

I don’t think he/she means that. I think he/she means landfall strength. Cat 3 anywhere near that far inland? No way. Also the case for cat 2 I’d think.
 
GaWx said:
I don’t think he/she means that. I think he/she means landfall strength. Cat 3 anywhere near that far inland? No way. Also the case for cat 2 I’d think.
Click to expand...

Yeah there's no way this will be a significant hurricane still in Atlanta but widespread 60-70 mph winds for a few hours are gonna cause a lot of issues. I don't think people realize how bad even those winds can be. That will put down hundreds of trees in Atlanta. That's pretty much what Opal was. I think that's pretty much the assumption of what happens here barring something really crazy. It's gonna be hard to get at least widespread winds stronger than that that far inland
 
tractor girl said:
There's no way this system maintains a CAT 3 (or even 2) as far up as ATL. I mean, if that DID happen it would be really bad esp for folks west of ATL (assuming the tracks even remain as they are - a lot is up in the air with Yucatan partial or full landfall)
Click to expand...
I was referring to landfall strength. Obviously there will be significant weakening of sustained surface winds after landfall..but across the board the models are showing high boundary layer winds..indeed they aren't showing much weakening at all until the mountains. Which means high gust potential.
 
Shawn said:
The winds will be felt well outside the center of the storm. A Cat 4 or 5 (unlikely) hitting FL would destroy ATL, and a lot of others with wind due to the forward speed and size.
Click to expand...

I mean yeah if this turns into Michael then the storyline may change but well it's naked right now and sheared... Until the storyline changes we need to take a deep breath
 
Shawn said:
Thank you. Anyone hoping this thing reaches major status and stronger is bat-**** nsane
Click to expand...
Cat 2 in atlanta is a pipe dream and probably physically impossible. I hope nobody is hoping that. however i'm still pretty bullish on the strenght; and if it continues to get its ducks in a row with the structure and establishing a cdo this will make a run at a 4
 
Looking at the visible satellite loop currently, it seems that the exposed center is ever so slowly getting some convection surrounding it. Also looks to be moving back to the NW to NNW as opposed to its ejection earlier today.
 
tractor girl said:
There's no way this system maintains a CAT 3 (or even 2) as far up as ATL. I mean, if that DID happen it would be really bad esp for folks west of ATL (assuming the tracks even remain as they are - a lot is up in the air with Yucatan partial or full landfall)
Click to expand...
I have an anemometer printout from Hugo from 34.233244, -80.659689 with 4 wind gusts >110mph (off the scale of the meter).
That coordinate is in Lugoff, SC about 122 miles from McClellanville, SC where Hugo made landfall.
 
She's gonna be a big one.

A quote from the NOAA NWS National Hurricane Center.

“Helene's forecast radii are at the 90th percentile of hurricane size at similar latitudes.

Due to the forecast large size of this
system, storm surge, wind, and rainfall impacts will extend well away from the center, particularly on the east side.

In addition, the fast forward speed while it crosses the coast will likely result in farther inland penetration of strong winds over parts of the southeastern United States after landfall.”
 
GaWx said:
I’m extra worried that the tornado threat from this in especially the NE sector is going to be high. Is that true? Any thoughts? I haven’t heard much about that yet.
Click to expand...
I would expect that with the overall size of the storm that’s expected and the fast forward speed, there could be an exceptionally higher risk for tornadoes in the right front quadrant
 
jrips27 said:
18z 3K NAM rain totals. This is all BEFORE the system makes landfall so this is solely from the PRE

Models are locking in on a significant rainfall event in North Georgia View attachment 151651
Click to expand...
Not sure I'd it's just me but I think this plus Helene is going to rival 2009's flooding if the totals truly reach those levels.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top