• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

Status
Not open for further replies.
Down to 960


Hurricane HELENE
As of 12:00 UTC Sep 26, 2024:

Location: 24.7°N 85.9°W
Maximum Winds: 85 kt Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 960 mb
Environmental Pressure: N/A
Radius of Circulation: N/A
Radius of Maximum wind: 40 nm
 
The city lights by night shows the population centers and the size of the Atlanta metro.

GOES16-GM-EXTENT3-1000x1000.gif
 
ForsythSnow said:
I'm not writing any possibility off until tonight for anywhere in GA. This is the most critical time to see what Helene does. A 2 now can mean anything from a 2 to a 4 at landfall tonight especially if deep RI is starting soon. I hope it's not bad but I don't think we should jump to conclusions just yet.
Click to expand...
Exactly. And generally GA is so “in it” it’s not going to just get “out of it”. Your power is out at a 50 or 90mph wind gust….thats being said, tracking the details of best to worst case scenario for each MBY is interesting from a weather standpoint.
 
1012 AM EDT THU SEP 26 2024

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN BREVARD COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 1045 AM EDT.

* AT 1012 AM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR TITUSVILLE, MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.
 
ontherocks said:
Exactly. And generally GA is so “in it” it’s not going to just get “out of it”. Your power is out at a 50 or 90mph wind gust….thats being said, tracking the details of best to worst case scenario for each MBY is interesting from a weather standpoint.
Click to expand...
Latest HRRR has southwest side of Atlanta with max gusts around 40 mph. That's not going to result in widespread power outages in my area. Almost zero sustained winds, until Helene passes by to the east and then, strangely, I get west northwest winds at around 20 mph and that's when the gusts show up. It will be around day break when that happens. So far, short range model guidance at around 12 hours is locked on an eastern path through GA. It's going to be really bad for Milledgeville, Athens, Augusta, Statesboro, Macon, etc.
 
1015 AM EDT THU SEP 26 2024

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN CAMDEN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
WESTERN GLYNN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
SOUTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...

* UNTIL 1045 AM EDT.

* AT 1015 AM EDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES WEST OF BRUNSWICK, MOVING NORTH AT 40
MPH.
 
Snowflowxxl said:
Only a million lost power with Zeta and that was a direct hit for ATL. This will miss us East by a good bit. I don’t expect bad power outages
Click to expand...
I'm going to save this, just in case. A good bit, 40, 50, 60 miles? That will still rock Atlanta with very high winds and torrential rains, the ground is now saturated, and even 40 to 50 mph is enough to cause power outages and tree damage.
 
Wild Weather Monger said:
A tick NW of the 06Z run, but yet again, east of the NHC cone. Yes, it's the NAM, yada, yada, yada. This is a 15-hour forecast.
View attachment 151966
Click to expand...

Damn, that track would wreck Cedar Key. 😞 Historically, that’s an unlikely place for a hurricane to make landfall, IIRC (the area north of Tampa to the Big Bend). I’ve seen some projected to but that area and track elsewhere in the end (i.e. Charlie - 2004).
 
HugeSnowStick said:
I'm going to save this, just in case. A good bit, 40, 50, 60 miles? That will still rock Atlanta with very high winds and torrential rains, the ground is now saturated, and even 40 to 50 mph is enough to cause power outages and tree damage.
Click to expand...
Atlanta will be on the far weaker west side. I’m thinking 30-40.
 
In my limited experience with tropical systems, the strong winds this far inland have seemed to come from the bands … perhaps mixing down. With Opal, memory serves (may not be completely accurate) that we had several inland spin-ups as well. That one hit me hard in Carrollton. Just my 2 cents … probably not worth that. Be safe everyone … prepare for worst and pray for best!
 
k0skinne said:
In my limited experience with tropical systems, the strong winds this far inland have seemed to come from the bands … perhaps mixing down. With Opal, memory serves (may not be completely accurate) that we had several inland spin-ups as well. That one hit me hard in Carrollton. Just my 2 cents … probably not worth that. Be safe everyone … prepare for worst and pray for best!
Click to expand...
I was in Carrollton for Opal and we had at least 70 mph winds. Many houses on my street had trees fall on them.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Back
Top