tractor girl
Member
ULL interacting with our tropical storm. From my hobbyist eyes, this looks like baroclinic effects
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Tropical Major Hurricane Helene
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
18z National Blend of Models Precip Totals
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
I find it interesting that the heaviest rain is to the west of the center in South GA and North FL
Don’t really get a better cluster than that.
SASQUATCH
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Timing as well
18z GFS
New GFS has 10 inches of rain in parts of Atlanta by the time the storm is making the landfall
itryatmanysportsespgolf70
Member
I know it's probably unlikely to happen, but the 12z and 18z nam has Helene under 888mb before landfall!!
Based on satellite, the shear is gone. IF the recent convection over the COC doesn't wane with DMIN this evening I'd bet on RI overnight.
Not wishing ill on the Cancun area, but it would be helpful if the storm tangles with that landmass before heading to the US coast.
994 Mb with a north wind @23 knots at NDBC buoy now. That's 10Mb lower than the late AM recon data.
Not wishing ill on the Cancun area, but it would be helpful if the storm tangles with that landmass before heading to the US coast.
994 Mb with a north wind @23 knots at NDBC buoy now. That's 10Mb lower than the late AM recon data.
Also it's still 977mb passing east of Atlanta. That would be close to a record low I would imagine
SnowwxAtl
Member
It seems like it will be making landfall later at 0z Friday instead of Thursday evening based off the GFS
18Z with sustained tropical storm force winds far inland to the east of the center.
JHS
Member
This GFS run is the scariest yet for upstate SC. 60mph gusts were bad enough, but this is showing 80mph for us now.
accu35
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I can see far west as maybe PCB and that’s it
Snow_chaser
Member
They may be, but they’ve been pretty consistent with showing that. Maybe splits the state of Georgia before going NW?
Drizzle Snizzle
Member
Yet another model showing the center east of the current forecast track. They may have to shift the track further east. ICON and GFS are both east.
tractor girl
Member
I'd prefer dealing with this system during the daylight hours, rather than passing through while everyone is sleeping
LovingGulfLows
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0z Friday would be 8pm Thursday so it's still pretty much in the evening.
