NWMSGuy
Member
EURO & AI have similar landfall locations (MS/AL) but very with landfall times.
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Tropical Major Hurricane Helene
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
NoSnowATL
Member
Its the truth. Most people don't.
SASQUATCH
2-Time Defending SouthernWX Fantasy Football Champ
Member
2024 Supporter
2017-2023 Supporter
"Things" start to go south, the older one gets. Anyway, lot of junk in the W. Caribbean right now.
18z GFS is into Orange Beach, AL around one week from now
NoSnowATL
Member
18Z GFS about the same spot but a little stronger, speed is about the same. Still looks like a rain and flood threat for someone.
lexxnchloe
Member
rusrius
Member
Post of the day, LOL!!
lexxnchloe
Member
885mb
Henry2326
Member
3. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southern Gulf of Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure could form by the early to middle
part of next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Thereafter,
gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical
depression could form as the system moves slowly to the north or
northwest over the northwestern Caribbean Sea and into the southern
Gulf of Mexico through the end of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Brent
Member
The GEFS still has no idea. There are a lot of big hits though
ICON finishes with a strengthening hurricane heading north
lexxnchloe
Member
Its alot slower and doesnt get caught up in the trof
lexxnchloe
Member
Some colossal changes at 500mb on the GFS with the trough but the end result isn’t too different. It is further east into Panama City though
Canadian is a Category 1 into Louisiana- right where Francine just hit
0Z:
Euro: E of 12Z, which had hit Mobile 9/29 at 989; 0Z hits Apalachicola 9/29 at 984 mb
GFS: just SE of Panama City late 9/27 at 979
CMC: E LA 9/27 981
ICON: C Gulf moving N 965 9/28
UK: 200 miles SSE of LA/TX border 1000 mb moving NNW late 9/27
Euro: E of 12Z, which had hit Mobile 9/29 at 989; 0Z hits Apalachicola 9/29 at 984 mb
GFS: just SE of Panama City late 9/27 at 979
CMC: E LA 9/27 981
ICON: C Gulf moving N 965 9/28
UK: 200 miles SSE of LA/TX border 1000 mb moving NNW late 9/27
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lexxnchloe
Member
