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Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

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wxdaniel said:
The word “west” has been used a lot lately on this board. Why do you guys from Atlanta to western Bama want this thing? A little morbid. I know this is banter but most of these post now are with wishcasting.
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I for one don’t want this thing. The ICON could make all the others look stupid for all I care.
 
wxdaniel said:
The word “west” has been used a lot lately on this board. Why do you guys from Atlanta to western Bama want this thing? A little morbid. I know this is banter but most of these post now are with wishcasting.
Click to expand...
I absolutely do not want it at all but I need to be on top of the changes to keep my family and home protected as much as possible.
 
wxdaniel said:
The word “west” has been used a lot lately on this board. Why do you guys from Atlanta to western Bama want this thing? A little morbid. I know this is banter but most of these post now are with wishcasting.
Click to expand...

I’m in the bullseye and um I don’t want it. Take it “east” to the Atlantic. I’ll keep my power and trees absolutely save my wishcasting for winter


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wxdaniel said:
The word “west” has been used a lot lately on this board. Why do you guys from Atlanta to western Bama want this thing? A little morbid. I know this is banter but most of these post now are with wishcasting.
Click to expand...
I promise you most of us don’t want the hassle of flooded roads and no power for days. The reality is it’s likely ATL is likely going to get the worst of the wind and rain and boy it’s going to suck
 
wxdaniel said:
The word “west” has been used a lot lately on this board. Why do you guys from Atlanta to western Bama want this thing? A little morbid. I know this is banter but most of these post now are with wishcasting.
Click to expand...
You realize that the ICON is the ONLY model showing this doing anything other than west GA/east AL right? Its not wishcasting when you want nothing to do with the storm, but everything is pointing at the same solution.
 
iGRXY said:
Just looking at the Satellite it already looks like a 80-90mph Hurricane. It's really getting that look of a storm that will have a clearing eye within in the next 12 hours
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i think the hot towers/convection is so vigorous that it may take a little longer than usual. maybe a dimple or two but i don't think we'll get a clear eye until tomorrow
 
wxdaniel said:
The word “west” has been used a lot lately on this board. Why do you guys from Atlanta to western Bama want this thing? A little morbid. I know this is banter but most of these post now are with wishcasting.
Click to expand...
Huh? I wouldn’t call it wish casting when the latest ensemble modeling has Helene tracking on the west end of previous guidance. I don’t think anyone necessarily wants this storm over their backyard. We’re just looking at the reality of the situation.

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WPC and the National Blend for the Upstate, NE Georgia, and Western NC. Along and west of US221 and north to Highway 11 looks good for 6-10". Peak gusts are around 40mph on average with the blend. Power Outages seems very very likely.
 
been looking at some mexican/cuban radars (which are terrible) and some fun observations:

it does look like helene took a quick crack at a pinhole last night before giving up (pinhole eyes, from a physics standpoint, are pretty unstable and hard to maintain). hard to see but it's the darker green ring (i told you these radars are terrible)
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since then its core has been doing a bit of soul searching, pretty typical for a convection bomb like this. It looks like a new eyewall is getting its act together, but tough to tell from this radar. i think the rain on the radar is literally blocking some of the waves from getting out which is blocking the reflectivity
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there's a radar in cuba that shows this too
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so well on it's way to figuring itself out, once this eyewall contracts and closes it'll be RI time
 
RainlessSnowless & Grumpy said:
The wind gusts look much more realistic. I see the Atlanta metro isn't above 50 either
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I definitely would question the intensity but we are dealing with a unique situation and I'd rather take the precedence of Irma and how that interacted with the upper level features than with previous storms that were isolated inland racers. The pressure being so low too will enhance the winds.
 
HELENE BECOMES A HURRICANE... ...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, DAMAGING WINDS, AND FLOODING RAINS TO A LARGE PORTION OF FLORIDA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES...

10:00 AM CDT Wed Sep 25
Location: 21.6°N 86.3°W
Moving: NNW at 10 mph
Min pressure: 979 mb
Max sustained: 80 mph
 
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