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Tropical Major Hurricane Helene

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00z runs are very aggressive. Some are 920mb at landfall. Recon plane is entering the storm right now.
 
00z runs are very aggressive. Some are 920mb at landfall. Recon plane is entering the storm right now.
recon_AF300-0909A-HELENE_zoom.png
2am EST Recon found 986mb at the center.
 
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It looks like the 0Z Euro has the center crossing Gwinnett County. The distance from landfall position to E of ATL is ~250 miles and it gets there in only 9 hours. That works out to an average of a whopping 28 mph, among the fastest on record for that area! To compare, the very fast moving Opal averaged no more than ~25 mph. Eloise of 1975, which also brought damaging winds well inland to W GA, averaged at ~29 mph.
 
PRE is gradually starting to set up across AL/GA ahead of Helene. Also I noticed in their app that TWC has gotten more aggressive on the rainfall totals here. 8-12 inches from tomorrow through Thursday night. Not anything that wasn’t a likely possibility, but compared to when I checked this morning I don’t think they were forecasting even half of that. https://radar.weather.gov/?settings...jYWxTdGF0aW9ucyI6MC44LCJuYXRpb25hbCI6MC42fX0=
 
It looks like the 0Z Euro has the center crossing Gwinnett County. The distance from landfall position to E of ATL is ~250 miles and it gets there in only 9 hours. That works out to an average of a whopping 28 mph, among the fastest on record for that area! To compare, the very fast moving Opal averaged no more than ~25 mph. Eloise of 1975, which also brought damaging winds well inland to W GA, averaged at ~29 mph.
That track would put Lake Lanier on the NE edge of the eye.
 
Comparing 0z & 06z GFS, 6z did some in a tid weaker then 0z. ICON remain close to its wallet with strength and eastward track from NHC trajectory and cone zone.
 
What is this? NWS CAE attaches contradictory images on the same post. They call for 1.5-2 inches in the same areas where NOAA calls for 4-6 in the same post. It's clear the models are shifting west and that's why the totals are dropping and the low amounts will probably verify. But that's a very contradictory post
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LOCATION...21.1N 86.2W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM ENE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM WSW OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES
 
LOCATION...21.1N 86.2W
ABOUT 60 MI...100 KM ENE OF COZUMEL MEXICO
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM WSW OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES
Right on schedule with HWRF and HMON forecast at the gate.
 
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