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Tropical Major Hurricane Harvey

000
URNT15 KNHC 241106
AF309 1209A HARVEY HDOB 14 20170824
105700 2436N 09418W 8429 01523 0046 +163 +149 070025 026 029 002 00
105730 2435N 09416W 8429 01523 //// +159 //// 060024 026 027 002 01
105800 2434N 09415W 8436 01515 //// +161 //// 054025 026 026 001 01
105830 2433N 09414W 8432 01522 //// +161 //// 060025 027 027 001 01
105900 2432N 09413W 8430 01521 //// +163 //// 059023 024 027 001 01
105930 2431N 09411W 8429 01520 0044 +164 +153 057021 021 027 000 00
110000 2430N 09410W 8430 01518 0044 +161 +154 054021 021 025 001 00
110030 2428N 09409W 8431 01517 0045 +160 +148 057022 022 026 000 00
110100 2427N 09408W 8430 01513 0043 +160 +147 060023 024 025 001 00
110130 2426N 09406W 8429 01520 0044 +160 +145 060024 024 027 000 00
110200 2425N 09405W 8430 01518 0042 +164 +143 059023 024 027 001 00
110230 2424N 09404W 8429 01517 0038 +167 +142 060024 024 026 001 00
110300 2423N 09403W 8429 01517 0037 +170 +141 060025 026 026 001 00
110330 2422N 09401W 8426 01517 0036 +170 +139 061026 026 025 001 00
110400 2421N 09400W 8430 01513 0034 +170 +138 060026 027 025 001 00
110430 2419N 09359W 8429 01513 0031 +170 +137 057027 027 026 001 00
110500 2418N 09358W 8429 01513 0031 +175 +136 053026 026 028 001 00
110530 2417N 09356W 8429 01510 0029 +175 +138 056027 028 029 001 00
110600 2416N 09355W 8428 01511 0026 +175 +138 053027 027 029 001 00
110630 2415N 09354W 8428 01511 0024 +176 +134 048027 028 030 001 00
$$
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Webberweather53 said:
Maximum rainfall is often underdone for TCs in NWP, but the Euro is spitting out upwards of 3 feet of rain in southeastern TX.
View attachment 902
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You basically read my mind and answered a question I was going to ask TC's almost always over perform in the rainfall category models struggle with that.

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We going to be darn near close to a hurricane at 11 a.m. advisory this is scary escalation for the folks in Texas

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Webberweather53 said:
Yeah and there's signs an eyewall is forming already, this is insane...
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Wind speeds usually lag a little behind pressure Falls you expect this is already a hurricane? Either way I guess it's a mute point it's rapidly intensifying and that's scary

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metwannabe said:
We going to be darn near close to a hurricane at 11 a.m. advisory this is scary escalation for the folks in Texas

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Don't tell Spann he said it's not expected to become a hurricane
bfc7cda88369c9b33d3808b06e6ab20b.png



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metwannabe said:
Wind speeds usually lag a little behind pressure Falls you expect this is already a hurricane? Either way I guess it's a mute point it's rapidly intensifying and that's scary

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It's pretty close, recon is finding 55 knot surface winds in the NE quadrant which has been the strongest part of the storm, so at the moment no, but at the rate we're going, easily going to have a cane by 11am
 
Recon finding flight level winds up to about 65 knots in the southeastern quadrant, should be interesting to see what they find when they make another pass through the center and go to the NE Quad, which is arguably the strongest part of the storm
 
Webberweather53 said:
Recon finding flight level winds up to about 65 knots in the southeastern quadrant, should be interesting to see what they find when they make another pass through the center and go to the NE Quad, which is arguably the strongest part of the storm
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Wow and we were all laughing at the HWRF last night. Anything can happen I guess. This thing is going North and it's going to be bad if it keeps RI.
 
I suspect that's a typo and Spann mean "is now expected to become a hurricane." He stated it's better organized then puts the nhc graphic up showing a projected cane. At any rate, Harvey is getting ready to become a huge problem!
 
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