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Tropical Major Hurricane Harvey

I only posted about the CMC because there has been an obsession with it so far this season


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I have a feeling the CMC is going to be the one that misses this storm. If you want to talk obsession though look at all the all hail the Euro posts too. However, I think the GFS and Euro will be closer to the solution, and the Euro seems to have brought the idea up and the others have caught on.
 
I wouldn't wish that rain to occur that fast in a flat area to anyone, even if they had an exceptional drought. That would be a nightmare for a very populated part of the state, not to mention it would last for over a week.
 
I swear the 12Z is exactly like the 18Z yesterday. Did it just recycle data by accident or was that just anothet run??? :confused: It also means no rain for us over here.

Huh ??? You would be on SE side . You would get rain and storms . Wouldn't be flooding rains but you would still get rain


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Huh ??? You would be on SE side . You would get rain and storms . Wouldn't be flooding rains but you would still get rain


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I was talking about most of us here, and it turns out that it was much wetter than 18Z in the end. It looked much like 18Z up until the point in Arkansas.
 
Harvey is making dramatic improvements. The ULL to the north is filling fast with the big anticyclone taking over. Outflow is dramatically improving on the western side as shear lessens. Big convective burst close to the COC. To be honest this may be the best it has ever looked.

Now systems in this area can fool you with how it looks via satellite, so we need recon to confirm. That said Harvey looks much better today than I expected.
 
Allison's max rainfall was a mere 37 inches :confused:

and yes I would agree Harvey looks much better than I expected
 
That could avoid a lot of catastrophic flooding here, but for those who want a big rain event here, that would only ruin things if it went left instead of right. Interesting at how the GEFS is split on its members.

So far, the Euro is stronger than last run.

There are some that take a hard left after landfall and wash out in Mexico
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