Tropical Major Hurricane Florence

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

If you want to see how things change so quickly in 24 hours, toggle today’s 12Z Euro at 144 to yesterdays 12Z Euro at 168. What’s a few hundred miles among friends?

 

[WeatherLC]

Should have booked on Ocean isle beach!!

Rather not die

 

[Storm5]

Got a hotel booked for Fayetteville nc Thursday

Good luck getting back


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[ForsythSnow]

Good luck getting back


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Definitely. This storm will probably screw the entire southern portion of NC badly enough that travel will be delayed when the storm is over by several days to a week or longer.

 

[Meteorologist1999]

What impacts could we get from that track in Columbia SC or Charleston??

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

30 inches of rain in SWVa and NW N.C. as this thing stalls and even moves back south. Unreal.

 

[Tarheel1]

Agreed. Gotta keep watching that track, atleast for the next little while, Florence will not strengthen much if at all. Dry air is still causing issues.

Shouldn’t this affect the track and keep it more Southerly in track?? The weaker the storm, the less poleward pull it will feel?

 

[WeatherLC]

So Greensboro is probably a better bet

 

[Kylo]

So, Flo going over the Triad instead of over the Triangle would actually be worse for the Triangle, right?

Yes, but disaster for everyone. If Euro holds tomorrow at 12z I will be really worried. Still hoping for a miss.

 

[Tarheel1]

30 inches of rain in SWVa and NW N.C. as this thing stalls and even moves back south. Unreal.

And we thought the gfs was just cray cray!

 

[Tarheel1]

So Greensboro is probably a better bet

Meh, I think closer to the ocean, the more action you will get! Fayetville probably good based on what we know now

 

[Arcc]

Shouldn’t this affect the track and keep it more Southerly in track?? The weaker the storm, the less poleward pull it will feel?

Probably a little, mostly because it could delay expansion and size of the storm through ERC.

 

[BIG FROSTY]

And we thought the gfs was just cray cray!

Flo ends up over my house!!

 

[Tarheel1]

Is faster better ? Wouldn't it cause more wind damage inland if its faster ?

Yes the faster foreword motion, the stronger the winds inland

 

[snowlover91]

Probably a little, mostly because it could delay expansion and size of the storm through ERC.

It may not matter if she deepens and is stronger than forecast by models. UK brings her down to 928, I hate to say it but that is plausible given the upper air setup and warm waters off the coast.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Flo ends up over my house!!

Twice actually lol. Moves into SW VA then moves back south into N.C. just a disaster for mountains and foothills/piedmont.

 

[Tarheel1]

Flo ends up over my house!!

You always score big! Snow or hurricanes! I need to move to Mayberry!

 

[snowlover91]

It looks like an anticyclone has been established now over Florence. This was well modeled and is forecast to grow in size and further ventilate her as she strengthens.

 

[Tarheel1]

Twice actually lol. Moves into SW VA then moves back south into N.C. just a disaster for mountains and foothills/piedmont.

Could make Opal look like a drizzle storm! Very bad! Mountains already plagued with mudslides and flooding all summer!

 

[SoutheastRidge]

Looking at the NHC forecast cone it looks it will NOT be a major hurricane shortly after landfall at 8am on Friday, so i'm guessing they are forecasting it to make landfall as a Cat 2 or maybe a weak cat 3 ?