ForsythSnow
Moderator
It's not the 0Z. It's still coming in and you can see the Init 12Z at the top left.
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Tropical Major Hurricane Florence
- Thread starter ForsythSnow
- Start date
Ok so I'm see a technical issue.... it's the correct 12z eps on the computer but on tapatalk is certainly is the 0z, crazy and I can't change it! Lol
Avalanche
Member
ABC was the first to latch on to this ots solution 2 days ago. Given how dry its been in central NC, close proximity could be an advantage for drought stricken areas of NC, while giving the outer banks nothing more than strong tropical force winds. Of course, all this changes if it charges NW into the southeast coast.
Storm5
Member
Yeah the eps mean shifted north vs 00z . So everything today has moved a little NE .
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
ForsythSnow
Moderator
In general, the EPS seems to show an overall narrowing with what looks like the average being around Myrtle Beach to just down the coast some or the NC/SC border.
EPS is worrisome actually, while the mean may have shifted north as FS pointed out there are fewer ots members, if anything the path tightened up
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
I agree. I think we should focus on where the tightest clusters are.
ForsythSnow
Moderator
If anything, it's barely anything. I argue though it's further south earlier on at the very least. I still feel it's slightly south IMO unless there is a map showing 0Z from 12Z having the average shown.
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Storm5
Member
The mean last night was around the NC/SC boarder the mean is for sure a little north of 00z . It’s irrelevant at this point anyway it will be different in 12 hours
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Storm5
Member
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
The mean at 12Z literally covers the state line
I agree but one of the reasons the mean was further south last night is there were more members south, even one in the GOM some what skewing the mean and it also had more ots solutions. This run has definitely narrowed compared with fewer ots solutions, anyway arguing semantics as it's not a final solution by no means
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Watch out, Pedro!
ForsythSnow
Moderator
Completely true. We will have the second half of the variables in by the next run. The next one is definitely more important to pay attention to because of that.
Storm5
Member
That's gonna be a big sombrero blowing across the interstate...
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
I know someone who just retired and bought a beach house at Carolina Beach. This has to suck for them.
Not much about the 12z eps really establishes a lot of comfort.
Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
