So the hurricane hunters are on their first pass and it already looks like it's stronger with pressure down around 990 mb and a wind maybe around 70 mph.
Ridge a bit stronger this run so it should be a bit south, however I anticipate the same general result as previous runs.
Gfs might miss the outer banks
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It's not a matter if what it is/isn't seeing, but more of which players are doing what. The GFS seems to be faster than the Euro with the entire playout, and that's what makes the difference.What’s making it turn at the end that the euro/ukie is not seeing.
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It's not a matter if what it is/isn't seeing, but more of which players are doing what. The GFS seems to be faster than the Euro with the entire playout, and that's what makes the difference.
CMC looks north a little...
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Models should be converging soon.
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Or maybe not the way the GFS and CMC are so different.