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Tropical Major Hurricane Florence

Starting to smell like a Myrtle Beach to Wilmington target, hope to be wrong. I feel like some of these models miss curve a little too often to the south.
 
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I swear on visible satellite , let looks like an eye is trying to reform! Even if not, it looks to be strengthening pretty quickly
 
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Not sure if any one posted this from the UKMET 12z ens

Even further north UK ens mean at 80W due to far fewer FL hits
Mean at 80W
12Z 9/6 run: 29.5N
0Z 9/7 run 31.5N
12Z 9/7 run 34.5 N extrapolated
 
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D 5 is the only part of the new cone that is further north of the previous cone, though it's not much. The NHC also expects another 36 hours of Florence being a TS before explosive RI.
 
Even further north UK ens mean at 80W due to far fewer FL hits
Mean at 80W
12Z 9/6 run: 29.5N
0Z 9/7 run 31.5N
12Z 9/7 run 34.5 N extrapolated

I forgot to point out that now the initialization of the UKMET ensemble is right on reality. It finally caught up.
 
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