Tropical Major Hurricane Florence

[Rain Cold]

ICON looks to be a touch south initially, but then takes a more northerly track along the SC/NC line.

 

[ForsythSnow]

Winds seem stronger and mormore organized this pass on the NE quadrant.

 

[Kylo]

RGEM and NAM both coming in farther south than their 6z runs. Looks like as soon as they make landfall, they pretty much spin wsw and then straight SW. Maybe good news for those of us farther inland.

Interesting NHC tracks it just north and along 34N. That would be heavy rains up to I-40 I would think.

 

[Webberweather53]

Wherever these heavy bands north of Florence setup in the piedmont of the Carolinas, get ready for 12-15"+ of rain

 

[deltadog03]

Recon also starting to show a WNW movement now (even if its just a short term thing)

 

[Metwannabe]

And another one, although same cell as before...

Tornado Warning
Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1131 AM EDT THU SEP 13 2018

NCC013-137-131545-
/O.CON.KMHX.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-180913T1545Z/
Beaufort NC-Pamlico NC-
1131 AM EDT THU SEP 13 2018

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1145 AM EDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN BEAUFORT AND CENTRAL PAMLICO COUNTIES...

At 1131 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Lowland, or 25 miles southeast of River Road, moving
southwest at 40 mph.

 

[MichaelJ]

Wherever these heavy bands north of Florence setup in the piedmont of the Carolinas, get ready for 12-15"+ of rain

View attachment 6343

Good point Webber, also look out in those areas for Tornados as the storm weakens and continues to move inland. Those North and East of the center passage will be liable to see several Tornados

 

[Tarheel1]

For the Upstate peeps!

 

[Metwannabe]

From the ICON.... still going to be serious and life threatening floods

 

[deltadog03]

Its trying to push out that dry punch as well.

 

[GaWx]

12Z GFS a little E of last 3 runs fwiw hour 24

 

[Metwannabe]

So far GFS almost identical to it's 6z run starts turning west between Morehead and Wilmington..

 

[Meteorologist1999]

Wherever these heavy bands north of Florence setup in the piedmont of the Carolinas, get ready for 12-15"+ of rain

View attachment 6343

Could the heavy rain shift and set up along Columbia SC?

 

[NCSNOW]

 

[Metwannabe]

Maybe LF just north of ILM

 

[NCSNOW]

Its trying to push out that dry punch as well.

Noticed that to. Just about ready to dislodge it

 

[Brick Tamland]

Wherever these heavy bands north of Florence setup in the piedmont of the Carolinas, get ready for 12-15"+ of rain

View attachment 6343

From the ICON.... still going to be serious and life threatening floods

Looks like 9 to 12 even up here.

 

[Ethan]

The GFS shows Flo at a 947mlb at 18z just before landfall.

 

[Metwannabe]

Looks like 9 to 12 even up here.

6-7 up here.... personally I think that is a little too far north, I'm leaning towards 2-3 imby

 

[GaWx]

12Z Gfs 48: 30 miles ESE of 6Z run or where NC/SC line hits ocean

Corrected for typo