ForsythSnow
Moderator
Just got a chance to check in because I'm at work, but wow this escalated quickly. I think she'll make a run for a cat 5 for sure.
Euro runs in like 13 minutes so let's see if the OTS trend in the models continue.
Edit: Actually it starts at 1:45 PM. Just checked the model time schedule.
might be closer to 125 kt now
943 mb
I could see a run for Cat 5 by tonight
Wonder if NHC will do a special advisory at 2?
Check out Allan's tweet, I posted it above....I'm interested in seeing what the fv3gfs says.
Yeah, seems to be similar to previous runs.Check out Allan's tweet, I posted it above....
Looks like recon found 143kt/165mph winds at surface last pass...
View attachment 6114
So far, we have the ICON, the UK, the GFS, and the CMC locked in on OTS or barely into eastern NC. As much as I’d like to give the nod to the Euro, that’s a lot of globals against. Wonder if it’ll hold its course? I would have expected to see one of those others cave by now. We’re not that far away.
Wouldn't say they are "shifting east" per sayHard to ignore most models shifting east, good news. Would find it hard to believe Euro doesn't shift east.
Wouldn't say they are "shifting east" per say