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Tropical Major Hurricane Florence

On it's current track she's gonna move back over water just south of Oak Island...

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As this storm moves ssw, sw, and the outer bands move farther away from hwy 64 from raleigh to asheboro, i have a hard time seeing northern wake and chatham getting any siginificant rainfall. Still think lee, harnett, and southern wake can get a decent amount.
 
2A64EFD1-F03A-411E-A83E-9367A25F45F2.png Looking like the W/SW side of the storm is the strongest part of the storm, kind of unusual! If that keeps up, could have big implications for places it goes directly over, like my area, later on down the line!
 
Storm5 said:
Do you NC people . I have no clue where this is
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Right about here. I believe myself and SD are south of 64. I am in Holly Springs about 10 miles south of that line. I think Florence may track a little to far south to get 6-10" up to Hwy 64. Thinking 3-5" for us with 2-3" for Raleigh.

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I don't know rain shield is expanding to the north and northeast somewhat
Avalanche said:
As this storm moves ssw, sw, and the outer bands move farther away from hwy 64 from raleigh to asheboro, i have a hard time seeing northern wake and chatham getting any siginificant rainfall. Still think lee, harnett, and southern wake can get a decent amount.
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The 3km can be a little stingy on its northern extend of precip shield but this gradient somewhere around southern Wake line will be tight.

6z run.

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I’m am two miles away from rain. It’s windy.
 
Storm5 said:
Do you NC people . I have no clue where this is

Highway 64 goes west to east all the way across NC. Cuts it in half basically. If you start in Murphy NC, closest to you in Alabama and draw a line to Cape Hatteras, 7 plus hour drive into the Atlantic Ocean. Theres Highway 64.

Goes ri ght through my County , Wake County by SD and right underneath Halifax County, Metwannabe stomping ground.
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Kylo said:
Right about here. I believe myself and SD are south of 64. I am in Holly Springs about 10 miles south of that line. I think Florence may track a little to far south to get 6-10" up to Hwy 64. Thinking 3-5" for us with 2-3" for Raleigh.

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Oh wow you aren't that far from me. Our area is interesting. The gradient even from my house to yours may be somewhat steep. Im thinking 4-8 here

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metwannabe said:
I don't know rain shield is expanding to the north and northeast somewhat

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Yeah this system is going to look totally different later today and especially tomorrow. I think there will be a sharp cutoff off to the north but still healthy totals

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SD said:
Yeah this system is going to look totally different later today and especially tomorrow. I think there will be a sharp cutoff off to the north but still healthy totals

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With how far south Flo is dropping, I am starting to think best chance of rains may be after this turns north in western SC.
 
Kylo said:
With how far south Flo is dropping, I am starting to think best chance of rains may be after this turns north in western SC.
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You are correct sir. I can tell you I'm in Chatham, just west of you and just north of Hwy 64 and we haven't had a drop and I see the outer bands drifting further south. These rainfall estimates of 5-8 for Chatham will not come to fruition with Flo's current path and location of outer bands. There will have to be a strong east side to this storm as it moves towards and up the apps.
 
Kylo said:
With how far south Flo is dropping, I am starting to think best chance of rains may be after this turns north in western SC.
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Im watching this band to get into our area shortly
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Yeah I'm mildly interested in these cells to my east although looks like for the most part they will stay south of me, but going to mean business when they rotate around to you guys

SD said:
Im watching this band to get into our area shortly
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Tornado Warning
Tornado Warning
NCC015-141430-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.TO.W.0012.180914T1354Z-180914T1430Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
954 AM EDT FRI SEP 14 2018

The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Southeastern Bertie County in northeastern North Carolina...

* Until 1030 AM EDT.

* At 954 AM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Westover, or 7 miles northeast of Plymouth, moving
northwest at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.
 
Hope I am far enough NW to miss out on the higher winds and power outages.
 
The nams are interesting. Maybe a slacking off this afternoon and evening then things pick back up again tomorrow as it moves west into sc..I see people posting on FB already that florence isn't bad. That's like saying an ice storm wasn't bad after the first hour of freezing drizzle

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