Hilarious this is still moving around within 48ish hours
-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Tropical Major Hurricane Erin
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Creeping closer to OBX
Notably the Euro is more west and stronger.
I don't think many people honestly thought this one had a shot to make it inside 75W. It may not make it but it'll get close it appears. This storm has scrapped and clawed it's way west it's entire existence. Pretty impressive.
lexxnchloe
Member
Tropical storm warnings for the OBX at 5pm?
it's been pretty systematic. did weekend RI help pump the ridge stronger than guidance suggested?
lexxnchloe
Member
I predict tropical storm warnings from the mouth of the chesapeake bay to Cape Lookout.
lexxnchloe
Member
CFS has been the best model this season. Use it for patterns, not intensity.
lexxnchloe
Member
Looking at things today its hard to see a screaming hard east turn the next 2 days. 60-70 mph gusts for the OBX seem very possible.
NoSnowATL
Member
Doesn’t really start moving N then NE until Tuesday.
Maybe? That and just those westward lurches it had a few times along with the synoptic adjustments have all worked in tandem to shift it a lot further west than what was modeled a week ago.
Brent
Member
Yeah I know it's still going to largely miss but
honestly it's pretty amazing a storm that formed over the Cabo Verde Islands(much further north than usual) can even get this close to the US
honestly it's pretty amazing a storm that formed over the Cabo Verde Islands(much further north than usual) can even get this close to the US
Sheesh
Lexxxxx with a good call.
Shaggy
Member
The thing about minor Westward shifts is the Wind field is so big that unlike a compact system.a small.cha ge can spread those winds to the obx pretty easy. Gonna be some houses lost to the sea this week for sure.
lexxnchloe
Member
As i expected
Shaggy
Member
They are gathering data. Next several runs will be interesting
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Man. We are lucky that when Erin splashed down, her first movement was northward, because if not, she would've caused a mess for many somebodies.
Even as is, I saw something talking about 50 rip current rescues on the OBX today.
Even as is, I saw something talking about 50 rip current rescues on the OBX today.
lexxnchloe
Member
A few more miles west
Henry2326
Member
Shaggy
Member
Quite the flight path
Probably sampling the upstream environment to help with the modeling I’d guess