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Tropical Major Hurricane Erin

I don't think many people honestly thought this one had a shot to make it inside 75W. It may not make it but it'll get close it appears. This storm has scrapped and clawed it's way west it's entire existence. Pretty impressive.
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I don't think many people honestly thought this one had a shot to make it inside 75W. It may not make it but it'll get close it appears. This storm has scrapped and clawed it's way west it's entire existence. Pretty impressive.
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it's been pretty systematic. did weekend RI help pump the ridge stronger than guidance suggested?
 
Looking at things today its hard to see a screaming hard east turn the next 2 days. 60-70 mph gusts for the OBX seem very possible.
 
it's been pretty systematic. did weekend RI help pump the ridge stronger than guidance suggested?
Maybe? That and just those westward lurches it had a few times along with the synoptic adjustments have all worked in tandem to shift it a lot further west than what was modeled a week ago.
Screenshot 2025-08-18 145321.png

ecmwf-bufr-erin05l-1755518400-5518400.png
 
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