Probably at least a advisory. I think the Mets are playing catch-up with the days model trends.
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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th
- Thread starter deltadog03
- Start date
NoSnowJoe
Member
I know it’s highly unlikely but what would have to take place for the ice to reach the metro ATL area. TIA
LovingGulfLows
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Just have to hope the models are REALLY underestimating the push of the arctic airmass. They've been adjusting quite a bit recently, but I don't think the freezing line will get to the Atlanta area(and if it does, probably just far western parts of it).
Stormlover
Member
The low would need to stay south and not cut thru Georgia.
Yeap low rides gulf into panhandle will extend the layer of colder air to the east and put a world of hurt on AL... Not likely unless models make big moves on the low getting lower and more eastward before cutting
Storm5
Member
Possibly it’s gonna be close . I’m still fearful of a warmer NW track
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Stormlover
Member
It's pitiful that some are paid good money at the NWS to come up with this garbage...those temps for Huntsville,Birmingham, etc..will be off by 20 degrees or more on Tuesday....
SASQUATCH
Mobile, AL: Snow Capital of the South
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I think the NWS is too
SASQUATCH
Mobile, AL: Snow Capital of the South
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Isn't this just a blend of models?
Storm5
Member
Wouldn’t know. Their AFd was horrible . Copy and paste .
Oh well , will be interesting to see how the 00z runs look
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Stormlover
Member
No, tell me what model shows that anyway. This is the description: Forecast data is produced manually by expert meteorologists at the National Weather Service.
TTown and Bham
HSV and Shoals
SASQUATCH
Mobile, AL: Snow Capital of the South
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I agree, maybe this expert is from a CAD area.
Sorry, couldn't help it CAD guys.
Z
Zander98al
Guest
Looks more and more likely that craps going to hit the fan for some people in alabama ?.
Brent
Member
Man this looks good here lol
Iceagewhereartthou
Member
I noticed there are only 3 states not under a snow/winter weather or cold watch or advisory (not counting NE states that are forecast to get snow in a couple of days). Those 3 states are GA, SC, FL. Getting totally left out of a nationwide winter storm/cold outbreak is a pretty sour pill.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
honestly that looks way conservative to me. Only a 40-50% chance of 4"+ ? I would think it would be closer to 80%
Storm5
Member
West coast to east coast . Amazing
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We need Matt there to write up the AFD....
NWMSGuy
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18Z EURO
accu35
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What about ice?
Brent
Member
Especially with the dry snow and the fact it's gonna stick from minute one
I've been trying to find ways for this to go wrong but I think this is the one here and who knows what's coming Wednesday
Dewpoint Dan
Member
I wonder how high the drifts will be ?
DadOfJax
Member
Cutting hard NE...not favorable for AL.FWIW this model here has the low pretty far south.
ColdCoreLow
Member
Freezing Rain in the Gulf off the Louisiana coast!!FWIW this model here has the low pretty far south.
The run doesn't seem to be but its at the very end and before any of the other models get to the sharp cuts
DadOfJax
Member
You can see the pressure representations at the surface separating hard through AL...that is your LP track if this run went further.
BufordWX
Member
OUN putting me in the Jackpot zone. Not sure whether or not I should be excited or concerned over that cause we all know jackpot zones can shift. 
NoSnowATL
Member
Lucky Bastard! I’m happy for ya buddy. I would be pumped the ---- up.
Storm5
Member
BufordWX
Member
Don’t worry, I’m already fixing to get some shut eye and then wake up in about 6-7 hours to catch the first band. Looking forward to this!
Dewpoint Dan
Member
I think the rule is, you dont wanna be in the jackpot zone 3+ days away. If you're in the jackpot zone hours away, I think you're fine.
DadOfJax
Member
Y’all guys enjoy this....us in AL can’t wait to see your pics and videos! Insane rates incoming! Anyone doing a time lapse?
Storm5
Member
Won’t have to look very far . NW corner of Alabama is trending towards all sleet and snow
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Storm5
Member
18z HRRR is a sleet fest for Birmingham by 18z Monday
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At this point I'll take it ?18z HRRR is a sleet fest for Birmingham by 18z Monday
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