Probably at least a advisory. I think the Mets are playing catch-up with the days model trends.Do you think Jefferson county will be included in watch area if things keep trending as they are?
Probably at least a advisory. I think the Mets are playing catch-up with the days model trends.Do you think Jefferson county will be included in watch area if things keep trending as they are?
I know it’s highly unlikely but what would have to take place for the ice to reach the metro ATL area. TIA
The low would need to stay south and not cut thru Georgia.I know it’s highly unlikely but what would have to take place for the ice to reach the metro ATL area. TIA
Yeap low rides gulf into panhandle will extend the layer of colder air to the east and put a world of hurt on AL... Not likely unless models make big moves on the low getting lower and more eastward before cuttingThe low would need to stay south and not cut thru Georgia.
Do you think Jefferson county will be included in watch area if things keep trending as they are?
I think the NWS is tooPossibly it’s gonna be close . I’m still fearful of a warmer NW track
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Isn't this just a blend of models?It's pitiful that some are paid good money at the NWS to come up with this garbage...those temps for Huntsville,Birmingham, etc..will be off by 20 degrees or more on Tuesday....View attachment 74654
I think the NWS is too
No, tell me what model shows that anyway. This is the description: Forecast data is produced manually by expert meteorologists at the National Weather Service.Isn't this just a blend of models?
I agree, maybe this expert is from a CAD area.No, tell me what model shows that anyway. This is the description: Forecast data is produced manually by expert meteorologists at the National Weather Service.
I noticed there are only 3 states not under a snow/winter weather or cold watch or advisory (not counting NE states that are forecast to get snow in a couple of days). Those 3 states are GA, SC, FL. Getting totally left out of a nationwide winter storm/cold outbreak is a pretty sour pill.Got a legend for the colors?
honestly that looks way conservative to me. Only a 40-50% chance of 4"+ ? I would think it would be closer to 80%Man this looks good here lolView attachment 74661View attachment 74662
We need Matt there to write up the AFD....Wouldn’t know. Their AFd was horrible . Copy and paste .
Oh well , will be interesting to see how the 00z runs look
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What about ice?18Z EURO
View attachment 74663
honestly that looks way conservative to me. Only a 40-50% chance of 4"+ ? I would think it would be closer to 80%
I wonder how high the drifts will be ?Especially with the dry snow and the fact it's gonna stick from minute one
I've been trying to find ways for this to go wrong but I think this is the one here and who knows what's coming Wednesday
Cutting hard NE...not favorable for AL.FWIW this model here has the low pretty far south.
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Freezing Rain in the Gulf off the Louisiana coast!!FWIW this model here has the low pretty far south.
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You can see the pressure representations at the surface separating hard through AL...that is your LP track if this run went further.View attachment 74672
The run doesn't seem to be but its at the very end and before any of the other models get to the sharp cuts
Lucky Bastard! I’m happy for ya buddy. I would be pumped the ---- up.OUN putting me in the Jackpot zone. Not sure whether or not I should be excited or concerned over that cause we all know jackpot zones can shift. LolView attachment 74678
Cutting hard NE...not favorable for AL.
Don’t worry, I’m already fixing to get some shut eye and then wake up in about 6-7 hours to catch the first band. Looking forward to this!Lucky Bastard! I’m happy for ya buddy. I would be pumped the ---- up.
I think the rule is, you dont wanna be in the jackpot zone 3+ days away. If you're in the jackpot zone hours away, I think you're fine.OUN putting me in the Jackpot zone. Not sure whether or not I should be excited or concerned over that cause we all know jackpot zones can shift. View attachment 74678
Y’all guys enjoy this....us in AL can’t wait to see your pics and videos! Insane rates incoming! Anyone doing a time lapse?
At this point I'll take it ?18z HRRR is a sleet fest for Birmingham by 18z Monday![]()
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