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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

Brent said:
Snow Amounts:
This afternoon`s forecast update has bumped up forecast snowfall
totals, but not for reasons that are typical to North and Central
Texas. The synoptic pattern is atypical of a "heavy snow producer"
with the difference being the very cold air that has been in place
now for several days. Forecast soundings indicate strong forcing
and saturation within multiple dendritic growth zones. This will
favor the development of dendrite snow crystals that then fall
into a near isothermal layer...further growing as they aggregate
ice...then return into a dendritic growth zone above the surface
further growing the snow crystals. These microphysical processes
will favor a low-density and high snow-ratio (10-15:1) compared
the typical heavy wet snow (5-10:1) we get here. This will allow
for snow to accumulate quickly and even allow for snow drifts to
develop with blowing snow. It`s still unknown how high the drifts
will be, but expect drifts on any north-facing elevations.View attachment 74623
Click to expand...
I’m currently snow chasing to Dallas Texas hey @Brent do you know any good places to go there?
 
Brent said:
Haha for real?

It's been so long since it snowed here I can't remember :p

Kind of weird but we actually briefly topped freezing and broke the streak today for a bit
Click to expand...
Yes I just landed in Oklahoma City and my next flight ✈️ to Dallas is in an hour so I’m trying to find the best spots and hotels there I just couldn’t resist missing a southern snowstorm
 
Kbmx first graphic
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Brent said:
Snow Amounts:
This afternoon`s forecast update has bumped up forecast snowfall
totals, but not for reasons that are typical to North and Central
Texas. The synoptic pattern is atypical of a "heavy snow producer"
with the difference being the very cold air that has been in place
now for several days. Forecast soundings indicate strong forcing
and saturation within multiple dendritic growth zones. This will
favor the development of dendrite snow crystals that then fall
into a near isothermal layer...further growing as they aggregate
ice...then return into a dendritic growth zone above the surface
further growing the snow crystals. These microphysical processes
will favor a low-density and high snow-ratio (10-15:1) compared
the typical heavy wet snow (5-10:1) we get here. This will allow
for snow to accumulate quickly and even allow for snow drifts to
develop with blowing snow. It`s still unknown how high the drifts
will be, but expect drifts on any north-facing elevations.View attachment 74623
Click to expand...
And get this.... The storm a few days later could produce more snow than the one tomorrow. You definitely have a shot at 10" total between the two.
 
AFD from Memphis this afternoon seems to think the storm late in the week will produce wintry due to the storm tomorrow into Monday laying the ground work to keep the temps down. Will be interesting to watch as we close in.
 
It's very tricky and confusing. One place is saying 5 to 8 inches of snow for here, and another is saying a half inch of ice with maybe two inches of snow.
 
One thing id like to say is. That temperatures have been a decent chunk colder here in birmingham than I thought they were supposed to be. Maybe it's my imagination idk?. But its sitting at 34 degrees in northeast birmingham were I'm at.
 
Zander98al said:
One thing id like to say is. That temperatures have been a decent chunk colder here in birmingham than I thought they were supposed to be. Maybe it's my imagination idk?. But its sitting at 34 degrees in northeast birmingham were I'm at.
Click to expand...
Agree the GFS had a high of 45 in Bham today, actual was 38. I’m in north Jefferson and had 36. May not have any effect on Monday but confirms models aren’t handling the shallow arctic air well.
 
TileDude said:
Agree the GFS had a high of 45 in Bham today, actual was 38. I’m in north Jefferson and had 36. May not have any effect on Monday but confirms models aren’t handling the shallow artic air well.
Click to expand...
My high in North Marshall County was 33 but was forecasted to be 40. The fog and low clouds was so thick coming back from Huntsville that you couldn't see with a temp of 30. This was about an hour ago. Temps have busted badly the last 2 days. Lots of trees with ice in them on Brindlee Mtn but Marshall County not included in the watch ?‍♀️
 
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