Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

[whatalife]

Just one set of model runs and it’s the Ukmet/Icon/Euro vs. the GFS/Gem...

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[deltadog03]

I think if we see the EURO trend further away from digging the TPV down or consistent with it slowly backing away...Then that will be the sign to say oh bleep

 

[ATLwxfan]

but again we’ve seen the trends of strengthening the ridge all winter and it hasn’t happened yet...

It’s upper 60’s in ATL right now.


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[Dewpoint Dan]

It’s upper 60’s in ATL right now.


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It's 65 in Atlanta

 

[Chazwin]

It’s upper 60’s in ATL right now.


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Yes, and last Friday the Euro was saying that we could have 3, possibly 4 consecutive days with temps like this. The 12z run that day had me getting a high of 67 on Friday this week... now the Euro has with a high of 42 and that might be too high now.

 

[Deleted member 1449]

GFS v. 16 is running again:

 

[iGRXY]

It’s upper 60’s in ATL right now.


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First day of 60's in how long? And how many days in the 60's have you had this winter? My guess hardly any at all because over here we haven't had hardly any. That's the point. SER keeps getting thrown out there in the medium range and it hasn't materialized but for maybe a day at most every few weeks.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This looks UKish but it somehow STILL worked

 

[ATLwxfan]

It's 65 in Atlanta

My thermometer a few ticks higher but very comfortable either way!


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[Dewpoint Dan]

My thermometer a few ticks higher but very comfortable either way!


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24 here ?

 

[BufordWX]

GFS v. 16 is running again:

Someone get @Brent!!! Lol

 

[Rain Cold]

This looks UKish but it somehow STILL worked View attachment 73222View attachment 73221View attachment 73223

We are really seeing some stupidly distributed ptype maps over the last week or so. The HP configuration is nearly textbook for a big SE winter storm at 156, and we end up with what's shown in these images.

 

[ATLwxfan]

First day of 60's in how long? And how many days in the 60's have you had this winter? My guess hardly any at all because over here we haven't had hardly any. That's the point. SER keeps getting thrown out there in the medium range and it hasn't materialized but for maybe a day at most every few weeks.

I agree there have not been many. Thanks to the -NAO. We’ve got a couple of days yet to come before we are back into the 50’s Friday.


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[iGRXY]

TPV looks stronger and further southeast on the ICON so far.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

We are really seeing some stupidly distributed ptype maps over the last week or so. The HP configuration is nearly textbook for a big SE winter storm at 156, and we end up with what's shown in these images.

Lol I just can’t get over how dogshit these H5 looks are (euro/v16) and they still show wintry precip, that’s how you know the cold airmass is legit

 

[weatherfide]

Friday could be interesting, according to the 84 hour NAM. Atlanta starts off near 60 around 7 am and then drops into the thirties by 6 pm, with a stiff northeast breeze, as the wedge builds in. Just in time for a nice fireside movie watching event?

 

[iGRXY]

Definitely a stronger push at 105 and the TPV is still further southeast this run.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Oh damn that’s a step in the right direction (if you want a ice storm)

 

[FallsLake]

It's really hard/confusing to track systems right now. As of right now, I have a chance of freezing rain (or not) on Thursday night, Friday night, Saturday night, take Sunday night off, and then go at it again on Monday night. What's really going to suck if we get nothing but 33 and rain for all these days.

 

[iGRXY]

Take the ICON out of the Euro camp. That was a look from hell for ice