What time would 18z be??18z HRRR is a sleet fest for Birmingham by 18z Monday
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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th
- Thread starter deltadog03
- Start date
Brent
Member
I know everyone is focused on the afternoon evening here but I wouldn't be surprised if there's accumulation from the morning round
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
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3:30? Lol
18Z is Noon
Flurry
Member
18z HRRR is a sleet fest for Birmingham by 18z Monday
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Knockin' on the door
BufordWX
Member
Don’t see this often.
“severe thunderstorms with snow and hail”
“severe thunderstorms with snow and hail”
Stormlover
Member
That must be the Caption Morgan Model Run but I hope its correct.
Stormlover
Member
From Jason Simpson, who has been downplaying it to a degree for days 
Stormlover
Member
I'll drink to that...anyway, it has half a foot to a foot of snow across north central/nw ala. It's the Baron model.It has done very well in the past.
Dewpoint Dan
Member
With temps forecast to be near 50 on Wednesday, i'd imagine that even with no sun there would be melting.
Stormlover
Member
That may be busted big time.
Storm5
Member
00z HRRR is a big sleet storm for
Birmingham
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Birmingham
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DadOfJax
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Yooo wtf
Storm5
Member
Damn hrrr is almost all snow for Huntsville
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Stormlover
Member
hrrr through 1PM Monday 
sleet
sleet
Storm5
Member
Good god the HRRR is a huge hit . Too bad it’s the long range HRRR
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DadOfJax
Member
Not to mention even the short range HRRR has been horrible.
Stormlover
Member
As you know, it's not the first high res model to show this
Storm5
Member
Yep 100 percent . But it follows the colder trends of the day and keeps the low further south
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EMTime
Member
Da-yum! I'm in 13+.
Flotown
Member
Where did you get that from???
ChattaVOL
Member
Just creeping to the East... let’s creep some more. Chattanooga needs and wants you.
ColdCoreLow
Member
The trends have been in our favor all day. Anxious to see if it will continue with the 0Z runs.
RollTide18
Member
HRRR gives Montgomery a trace of sleet, lmao I'll take it.
Stormlover
Member
DadOfJax
Member
It’s a TV stations model....not used by anyone but them. They don’t have an ice algorithm so it calculates out to snow, and the output is a ratings grab.
Mr. Golf
Member
Can you post the hrrr for the midsouth a little further west please? Thanks in advance
Clem282340
Member
Is this storm going to make it east of the mountains
At least the bleeding stopped on the NAM. 00z run now shows a solid 3-4" for Dallas.
Unfortunately, the chances for 6"+ seem to be fleeting, as the 00z HRRR came in with lower amounts.
Unfortunately, the chances for 6"+ seem to be fleeting, as the 00z HRRR came in with lower amounts.
James Spann just posted a update and says just rain in Birmingham. Using 18Z euro as a model......
Stormlover
Member
Stormlover
Member
I wouldn't bank on that, it's close and can easily change
DadOfJax
Member
Very true....I just don’t buy it at all. However, we have seen models play catch up all throughout an event...actually, a lot of our big events is a constant model catch up game.... ?
Nicole Leath
Member
All I need is a 15 mile East shift and bingo!
DadOfJax
Member
He knows how the balance it all out. From ratings, to most likely scenario, to leaving a window open to say he was right if it snows a foot...it’s a game.
Been headed your way all day....
LickWx
Member
Interstate 40? Bet it’s on the north side only!
JLL1973
Member
Nam is going to bring the sleet storm again