Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

[deltadog03]

Some wintry AL, MS, AR, TN and some early over NC, but an uglier run for sure.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Discouraging trend, each run our SE Canada vortex is getting weaker

 

[DadOfJax]

Retreating HP and a strengthening LP in the northern Gulf screams warm nose, 38 degrees, and a lot of rain for AL!

 

[WXinCanton]

Wow, Memphis get clocked.

 

[deltadog03]

NE GA, upstate and WNC and CNC get lit up by TUE AM

 

[deltadog03]

our TPV got destroyed and destroyed the confluence

 

[Jessy89]

Well even though the GFS the CMC and Euro has it in some form. The trends have been worse. We probably are trending towards a cold rain


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[NorthGaWinter4]

our TPV got destroyed and destroyed the confluence

Not good to have the euro and ukmet on the same page

 

[ATLwxfan]

For all the -NAO saving us talk, we sure are ridging a fair amount.


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[Stormlover]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Even with weaker confluence, there’s a fricken ice storm, that’s how much potential this has when it comes to ice

 

[packfan98]

The Polar Vortex piece gets shredded like the UKMET was at the end of its run. Everything was further north - High pressure and the surface low. S/W went negative tilt too soon so you get an apps runner. No good trends overall on this run of the Euro. On to the EPS.

 

[iGRXY]

Well even though the GFS the CMC and Euro has it in some form. The trends have been worse. We probably are trending towards a cold rain


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Trends have not been worse? One run of the Euro that still shows an ice storm is not a trend.

 

[jjwxman]

Lights out in favored CAD areas of NC/SC on this Euro Run. Good Lord, The Freezing Rain maps are going to be crazy I bet.

 

[Snownut]

Well even though the GFS the CMC and Euro has it in some form. The trends have been worse. We probably are trending towards a cold rain


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Over Ice I will take it

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[Myfrotho704_]

We need to reverse that trend of less confluence on the euro. that’s no beuno

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Even with weaker confluence, there’s a fricken ice storm, that’s how much potential this has when it comes to ice View attachment 73172

Yeah this looks like it’s going to the warmest solution you can get with this pattern ... that cold air won’t move

 

[JLL1973]

euro with a nice winter storm for the midsouth area

 

[Snownut]

Well even though the GFS the CMC and Euro has it in some form. The trends have been worse. We probably are trending towards a cold rain


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But the trends are still for ice so if worse means ice storm then yeah I guess they are worse

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[MichaelJ]

I absolutely don't like the EURO/UKMET combo showing the TPV weakening and stretching out. This is historically in their wheelhouse unfortunately