Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

[Stormsfury]

I ain’t a player, I just crush a lot
When is the last time CHS or FLO has a major ice event?

February 12th, 2014.... Had .50 to .75 elevated surfaces off the ground. The roads fortunately were just wet locally.
Charleston Airport only picked up .12"

 

[Snownut]

Actually, would be better to cut off an 850mb low south but with steady WSW to SW flow atop the cold dome, it's gonna be hard to come by, even with 925mb temps quite cold to start. The GFS actually does develop a 925mb low offshore which could help out in a deeper sub freeze level which would produce more sleet than ZR...

But the problem is that later in between 700mb and 925mb will be a warm air advective train with the wedge.

Not good if that happens

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[deltadog03]

EURO looks a little warmer, north a smidge with the TPV so far

 

[Stormsfury]

2014 for Florence View attachment 73143

This is a better rep. Of the 2014 icestorm.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Euro looking most similar to the icon vs the 2 other op models right now

 

[deltadog03]

about the same temps wise through sat 6z...TPV a little NW of 00z run so far but catching up to the 00z position.

 

[KyloG]

This going to be fun

 

[wxdaniel]

Our uLL has blossomed OUT WEST

 

[Jessy89]

Can the Low bloom in the northern gulf instead of late bloom in the Atlantic let’s see


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[Myfrotho704_]

Worse then lasts night 00z but still a overall wintry look

 

[deltadog03]

The high is a couple of MB weaker as well.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Can the Low bloom in the northern gulf instead of late bloom in the Atlantic let’s see


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Yeah this just doesn’t feel so much like a coastal setup tbh but we’ll see

 

[Myfrotho704_]

These models almost look exactly the same with more ridging poking in and a more stretched TPV

 

[deltadog03]

This won't be as good as the 00z run I don't think.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That ridge in the east needs to relax/TPV needs to be more like the CMC/GFS otherwise it’s just gonna be a ice storm/perhaps cold rain.

 

[deltadog03]

old vs new

 

[Myfrotho704_]

More stretched/weaksauce Vortex =

 

[deltadog03]

That ridge in the east needs to relax/TPV needs to be more like the CMC/GFS otherwise it’s just gonna be a ice storm/perhaps cold rain.View attachment 73161

yup the confluence in the NE is not good and heights are higher up there this run.

 

[Stormlover]

old vs new
View attachment 73163View attachment 73164

stronger and farther north

 

[Storm5]

Northern LA , west Texas and western Miss get hammered this run


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