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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

Interested in seeing what the CMC does at 0Z. I’m
Not sure why but Tuesday AM is freaking close.


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Robert West said:
I just can’t get over some of these Deep South Winter soundings I’m seeing on the models for areas of TX, LA, & MS. Even NW Alabama. It’s infuriating that we are missing this in the Carolinas, but it’s still pretty wild observing this thing evolve on models.
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Appears we lost the -NAO of death at the wrong time. I’m in middle TN and I’m still trying to squeak out frozen precip.
 
Main reason why I haven’t completely thrown this one away was because I wanted to see if the models continued their track record of basically going to hell in the medium range only to bring the wintry threat back in the day 3 to 4 range and looks like it might be doing that now.
 
Robert West said:
I just can’t get over some of these Deep South Winter soundings I’m seeing on the models for areas of TX, LA, & MS. Even NW Alabama. It’s infuriating that we are missing this in the Carolinas, but it’s still pretty wild observing this thing evolve on models.
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i know i feel ya! we are just gonna have to let it go buddy
 
iGRXY said:
Main reason why I haven’t completely thrown this one away was because I wanted to see if the models continued their track record of basically going to hell in the medium range only to bring the wintry threat back in the day 3 to 4 range and looks like it might be doing that now.
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Of course, they did. I can't handle this stress anymore. Lol. I don't really want ice, but I mean, if that's all we get for the rest of the winter then it's something. And please... don't you all come at me with, "wishing ice or a sig ZR storm is completely idiotic and it makes me a bad person"... blah, blah, blah. Everyone salivates when we enter tornado and hurricane season and those are just as destructive as a major ice storm. This is a weather board. If we all lived in SoCal we wouldn't even be discussing, well anything. If this is banter, then Mods, please feel free to move this post. But there were a lot of personal attacks aimed at people earlier who just want a little bit of excitement. Stop with the nonsense. No one wants destruction. We all just want something to track.
 
ryan1234 said:
Of course, they did. I can't handle this stress anymore. Lol. I don't really want ice, but I mean, if that's all we get for the rest of the winter then it's something. And please... don't you all come at me with, "wishing ice or a sig ZR storm is completely idiotic and it makes me a bad person"... blah, blah, blah. Everyone salivates when we enter tornado and hurricane season and those are just as destructive as a major ice storm. This is a weather board. If we all lived in SoCal we wouldn't even be discussing, well anything. If this is banter, then Mods, please feel free to move this post. But there were a lot of personal attacks aimed at people earlier who just want a little bit of excitement. Stop with the nonsense. No one wants destruction. We all just want something to track.
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I agree. I never really understood the thought process of hating an ice storm, but cheering on severe weather. Yes it’s a weather board and most of us have this hobby because we find all types of weather interesting. Anyway, as for Monday and Tuesday... I’ve got my towel in hand and ready to throw it in if we don’t start see some significant turns in the models by tomorrow evening. If they don’t, I still I have a feeling that we could sneak something in over the next 2-3 weeks... still a good bit a cold air close by to hopefully time something right.
 
Clem282340 said:
If the cad keeps on trending in the right direction do you think we will see ice
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Need to continue the separation of the TPV and the Wave out on the west coast. That will allow heights to build over the NE and build in HP. If that continues, then yes. Even as bad as these runs have been the upstate and areas below I40 are sitting in the mid to upper 30’s so it’s not like you’ve got to knock off a whole bunch on temps. Couple that with the fact that CAD is usually stronger than modeled and it’s going over fresh snowpack and it’s not a good recipe.
 
My thinking Is the same as yesterday. East of the mountains is where the most uncertainty is. Right now looks like a cold rain for most In upstate sc NE Georgia but this is subject to change. It could still trend to a ice storm


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accu35 said:
Hoping for some positive trends tonight? It wouldn't take much of a change and my area could get in on the action. I'm literally one county over from the MS state line.
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HEY KEEP THEY WITCHCRAFT THINKING OVER THERE... US HERE IN BHAM METRO AINT GOT TIME FOR THAT?
NOW I DO HAVE TO BE IN NASHVILLE TN NEXT FRI-SUN FOR A TRAVEL VOLLEYBALL TOURNAMENT AND HOPING ALL IS IN THE CLEAR FOR THAT
 
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MSnowAtl said:
It is not in Tuesday range right?
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Yeah its not in the Window of the threat but just a idea of the difference in Temps particular in the CAD category... In the best of conditions the CAD can reach all the way into Alabama and will have to be watched on the short range models
 
One thing to consider, and it might not make any difference, but the CAD is in place now and looks to remain place at least into Wednesday.
 
The icon is close to huge icy mess for a lot of west central Alabama
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