From my untrained eye, it seems like the cold front (not wedge) is at the AL/GA line.
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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th
- Thread starter deltadog03
- Start date
iGRXY
Member
If and that’s a big if, you want an ice situation east of the mountains. Right now you gotta like where you stand this far out with the flip to more CAD already taking place on the models. They’re dropping temps by 4-5 degrees already from 24 hours ago.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Yep. Icon was right at 4 degrees colder here than it’s 18Z run. CAD doing CAD things.
I can see that trending colder for NC & Upstate SC for sure!
Beginning of the muted SER!
Brent
Member
Icon has two waves here early Sunday and then the bigger wave that everyone is hyping Sunday Night
NWMSGuy
Member
Like the snowier look on the ICON for Memphis and areas of Northwest Ms more so than the Ice the GFS has been advertising.
JLL1973
Member
The icon continues to depict a major winter storm on Monday but what concerns me even more is the next wave that moves in Wednesday night. If that were to verify it would be bad news for parts of the midsouth. That’s is a lot of moisture with temps right at freezing
JLL1973
Member
Look at the Thursday system the icon is advertising
NWMSGuy
Member
Really haven’t followed the ICON model much but I guess it doesn’t depict Ice in its output?
JLL1973
Member
No it does not
Jeremy Camp
Member
I will take 14 and 22
Storm5
Member
Stormlover
Member
0z gfs has heavier freezing rain in north ala from first wave than 18z
NWMSGuy
Member
You make a valid point regarding the Wednesday/Thursday system from the ICON. After checking 2Meter temps it will be lights out for many I would believe.
Stormlover
Member
uh oh 
Storm5
Member
Gfs smokes 3/4s of Mississippi with freezing rain and crushed Memphis
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GFS coming in a bit warmer.
For my area.
For my area.
NWMSGuy
Member
GFS has a little bit of a stronger push of cold air at 90 it would appear for the Midsouth. Snow line is pushing into extreme northwest ms this run.
Storm5
Member
Stormlover
Member
there is a brief warmup midday monday to the low 40's, but is quickly down to freezing and below in the afternoon when the heavy precip comes in, so no, this is not good
Okay so we really have to be more precise with our descriptions. The 0z is warmer in N central and eastern AL and colder in NE and far W AL.
accu35
Member
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My bad. I meant monday night
RollTide18
Member
GFS was close to some big issues for Tuscaloosa
This is how I see it.
GFS says no CAD, but 60 degree dews nosing in for areas East
Storm5
Member
Ends with freezing drizzle for many with crashing temps
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JLL1973
Member
Ice for you and a sleet fest for me
Austin is going to have their second snowfall of the season. That is unheard of... Many times us in the Southeast gotten snow and Texas has been shafted.. cold snaps last longer in SE
Downeastnc
Member
One of these is very wrong for MBY on Tues.....
Storm5
Member
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V16 backed off for CAD areas completely
Stormlover
Member
what a cutoff! 
NWMSGuy
Member
Wondering when was the last time Memphis saw a 0 degree temp? I imagine it has been a while.
Storm5
Member
V16
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Brent
Member
That Wednesday storm looks more problematic icon has rain in the low 20s close by here
Montanasnow30
Member
Meh for the same exact areas wash rinse repeatNice backend snow for Wednesday/Thursday storm
I still see this line moving another 50-75 miles southeast. Models doesn't do a good job on arctic air like this.
NWMSGuy
Member
I think this is a really valid point. Reason I rode the CMC & RGEM with the last event. They seemed to have had a better handle and then when the HRRR was available Memphis started shifting their warnings southeastward.