-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th
- Thread starter deltadog03
- Start date
Cadi40
Member
I’m really killing myself salivating over threats that continually get pushed back into the unknown.
MichaelJ
Member
I don't think the EURO projection is right because it holds back the system in the SW too long. In previous set-ups like this, the progression is almost always faster than what the EURO projects. I think the biggest concern is whether the HP to our North can stay locked in enough to meet the system or if it races out and leaves us mostly with a cold rain. I have a suspicion that western NC, Ga and SC are in for a dangerous icing event. Further West will have the best chances for snow IMO
Stormsfury
Member
I'd pay attention to the vortex over Nova Scotia that MyFroTho posted... If seasonal trends mean anything here, I would expect to see that retrograde SW over the next couple of runs... If the guidance just doesn't reset and give us some new look to ponder in the next 6 to 12 hours..
iGRXY
Member
Incoming Ice storm for the CAD areas on the EPS.
honestly depends...GFS is right its a Western and maybe some NC areas. EURO has the best shot if moisture was further north. (for all of us)
SimeonNC
Member
Haven't heard anyone say this in a minute but guest sign up lol, we have a wild week ahead of us and we could always use more posters from different locales.
iGRXY
Member
This is after already several hours of ice and initial snow.
Ron Burgundy
Member
FFC sounds as confused as we do, lol:
“Models diverge for Saturday night and Sunday with the approach of
another wave. The ECMWF is showing a rapidly moving wave pushing
east of the forecast area early Sunday...while the GFS has a closed
low over GA. We could either have a significant precipitation event
or little to nothing. Given the below freezing temperatures forecast
for Saturday night...have tried to compromise for now with low pops
across the area and some light snow possible for the far north.”
“Models diverge for Saturday night and Sunday with the approach of
another wave. The ECMWF is showing a rapidly moving wave pushing
east of the forecast area early Sunday...while the GFS has a closed
low over GA. We could either have a significant precipitation event
or little to nothing. Given the below freezing temperatures forecast
for Saturday night...have tried to compromise for now with low pops
across the area and some light snow possible for the far north.”
Snowvol reporting in from northwest middle tn.
Storm5
Member
36 on the mean . I’ll take it , ---- just a few days ago this looked totally different
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
SouthSideYankee
Member
Classic NW of the triangle setup.
Alittle old school, but back in the day, CAD areas always trended colder as it get closer to the event. So, I would say knock off 3 to 5 degrees of the Temps modeled.
Easily for ATL, the Temps at 33 would be 25-30 in my opinion!
Easily for ATL, the Temps at 33 would be 25-30 in my opinion!
Is Orange and Durham counties not part of the triangle?
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Typical theme this winter has been NW of the triangle for most wintery performance, but I could see this trending to heavy sleet to include the triangle and other points possibly south and east. Real cold on the map this time
SimeonNC
Member
I'm confused lol, freezing temps are really far east here, close to the inner coastal plain. The triangle looks to be solidly in play
Sent from my Z983 using Tapatalk
JHS
Member
Yep no way. Would have to be ice or sleet IF the big high is there with those dp's. The ice would last a long time too if the temps started out at 22 despite ZR being a warming process. It would drop down to 15-17 before slowly going back up and the favored CAD areas probably would not get close to freezing until the event was over.