Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

[NickyBGuarantee]

Remember what I said a few days ago about the performance of the models with our initial ice threat Saturday... models are starting to pick out way more CAD then previously thought .. the trends for that CAD will probably relay to the trends we see with KING KONG

 

[Chazwin]

Remember what I said a few days ago about the performance of the models with our initial ice threat Saturday... models are starting to pick out way more CAD then previously thought .. the trends for that CAD will probably relay to the trends we see with KING KONG

Even today for CLT metro we saw the effects of stronger CAD than was forecasted. Every bit of guidance yesterday has us getting to the upper 50s today. Instead we topped out at 52 mid morning and then slowly dropped back into the upper 40s by mid afternoon. With the amount of snow cover to our north, I think it’s a good possibility that even short range models could underestimate CAD right now

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Was wondering why I saw no icon talk, Looks like the icon is caving to other guidance, of course this time caves to a solution that would mean less wintry wx yet the last time other models caved to it with a worse solution ? never fails

 

[Snowfan]

ICON continues the NW trend of the TPV.

 

[CaryWx]

Just a littttttleeeeeee bit of a CAD ice storm signal

Heck yeah. We're like 30/50 on those panels

 

[LickWx]

Even today for CLT metro we saw the effects of stronger CAD than was forecasted. Every bit of guidance yesterday has us getting to the upper 50s today. Instead we topped out at 52 mid morning and then slowly dropped back into the upper 40s by mid afternoon. With the amount of snow cover to our north, I think it’s a good possibility that even short range models could underestimate CAD right now

CLT made it to 59 today. Believe that was warmer than what the NAM had at least .

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Lmfao the main TPV looks like it might not even move East but just weaken on the icon !!!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Icon is barely a freezing rain event ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Cold rain for everyone ???

 

[lexxnchloe]

Icon is barely a freezing rain event ?View attachment 73708

Keep the trend going and i can enjoy 75.

 

[accu35]

Precip field expanded out further

 

[SD]

Icon is barely a freezing rain event ?View attachment 73708

Good thing is warm biased at 2m

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Good thing is warm biased at 2m

Take off that extra 2-4 degrees to feel better ?

 

[TheBatman]

Cold rain for everyone ???View attachment 73709

Looks better for us west of the mountains. We need a win. We have had a sucky winter..

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Good thing is warm biased at 2m

Oops yep

 

[SD]

Oops yep

I have to start proof reading my posts

 

[JLL1973]

Precip field expanded out further

Too bad it will probably be 50 by verification time

 

[Stormlover]

ICON cuts and gives us a lot of rain monday (some of that could be freezing rain or sleet in nw ala monday morning)

 

[Myfrotho704_]

ICON cuts and gives us a lot of rain monday View attachment 73710

What a disaster

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

ICON cuts and gives us a lot of rain monday View attachment 73710

Wow this was Mack’s storm the whole time? Smh

 

[Brent]

Icon also threatening the all time coldest day here lol

 

[KyloG]

Quite the change from last nights 0z run. Would expect more of this.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

ICON cuts and gives us a lot of rain monday View attachment 73710

Isobars east of the mountains look good but we’re funneling in seasonal cold. Total waste of a 1040 stuck in the middle of the country giving @Brent snow @ 8 degrees

 

[Brent]

Isobars east of the mountains look good but we’re funneling in seasonal cold. Total waste of a 1040 stuck in the middle of the country giving @Brent snow @ 8 degrees

I've never even seen anything like some of what these runs are showing lol

 

[Chazwin]

CLT made it to 59 today. Believe that was warmer than what the NAM had at least .

The high at the airport which is southwest of downtown was 57 just afternoon and then fell back into the lower 50s by 3pm. To the north and east of town temps only topped out in the 52-54 range and then fell back into the upper 40s by mid afternoon

 

[accu35]

The only way I'll feel better about this if the gfs trends better tonight

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Damn we suck, we’re under a death ridge and have 31-33 and rain to show for it the end of the run

 

[JLL1973]

Icon is much warmer but still gives me a major ice storm. Let’s see what goofus says

 

[Ksnow33]

Flooding is a legit threat with this pattern even though it has been a bit drier the past few months.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

I've never even see anything like some of what these runs are showing lol

Couldn’t you just spare us 10 degrees? I mean snow at 18 degrees is still pretty cool

 

[BufordWX]

@Brent ICON has round 2 coming Tuesday night into Wednesday. Lol

 

[superjames1992]

Good thing is warm biased at 2m

People keep on saying this, but I’ve not seen any evidence it’s true this year. If anything, every model is cold biased (especially the GGEM/RGEM).

I’m pretty sure you’re joking, though. ?

 

[Stormlover]

HUNTSVILLE hourly forecast shows 2 inches for me mon night

 

[SD]

People keep on saying this, but I’ve not seen any evidence it’s true this year. If anything, every model is warm biased (especially the GGEM/RGEM).

Same I haven't seen any actual literature about it maybe I just overlooked it

 

[Wild Weather Monger]

Wow, after days of relative consistency the ICON has gone from a 1041Mb damning high over NY to a 1005Mb low-pressure system...over NY!

Runs that were only 12 hours apart and out to only 5 days. Crazy pattern.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

HUNTSVILLE hourly forecast shows 2 inches for me mon night View attachment 73722

2 inches of fresh, cold rain, damn man we can at least get the grass growing at high gear this spring

 

[superjames1992]

Same I haven't seen any actual literature about it maybe I just overlooked it

If we keep on saying it’s true enough, we’ll start to believe it!! Maybe Mother Nature will, too?

 

[Brick Tamland]

Actually, if everyone changed their avatar to mine it could bring us good luck for a winter storm. I mean, it's just as likely to work as our great patterns do these days.

 

[Chazwin]

Flooding is a legit threat with this pattern even though it has been a bit drier the past few months. View attachment 73719View attachment 73719

The one constant that we see no matter the solution is there’s gonna be a lot of moisture. So now that the ICON showed what it shows, wouldn’t it be funny if the 0z GFS and Euro went back to colder solution...

 

[TheBatman]

Actually, if everyone changed their avatar to mine it could bring us good luck for a winter storm. I mean, it's just as likely to work as our great patterns do these days.

Will the real Brick please stand up... LOL ?