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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

There is so many peace’s flying around on the models. There having a hard time digesting the data. Literally spitting out different looks every 6hrs. The peace’s are there and someone will cash in on something substantial in the south. Best chance looks to be west of the mountains mid south area. All though the chance is there for about everyone


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Jessy89 said:
There is so many peace’s flying around on the models. There having a hard time digesting the data. Literally spitting out different looks every 6hrs. The peace’s are there and someone will cash in on something substantial in the south. Best chance looks to be west of the mountains mid south area. All though the chance is there for about everyone


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I'm afraid this one may be an ice storm around here, but let's hope not!

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Tobiewx said:
NWMS Guy, I as well live in Senatobia, I don’t think Memphis will do anything until they see the Euro come on board, which could very well be the case at the 12z run, I tend to think Memphis will play this on the conservative side because of the model disagreement.
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As they should as well as pretty much all NWS. Being conservative and erring on the side of NOTHING works out 90 percent of the time...plus people are A LOT more forgiving if NWS has to ADD snow/ice ❄to the forecast vs taking it away after hyping people up ?
 
Bsud said:
I'm afraid this one may be an ice storm around here, but let's hope not!

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I know it sounds horrible for me to want a Ice storm. But I do enjoy the beauty of ice all over all the trees. I’d always rather have snow but ice is better then cold rain


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Tobiewx said:
NWMS Guy, I as well live in Senatobia, I don’t think Memphis will do anything until they see the Euro come on board, which could very well be the case at the 12z run, I tend to think Memphis will play this on the conservative side because of the model disagreement.
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Great to see someone from the area on the board! Agreed with regards to Memphis FO. Looks like we will be cutting this close to go time.
 
If and it’s a BIG if, the models are trying to latch onto a trend now, it really wouldn’t shock me at all if areas even east of the mountains get into a winter storm in the Saturday/Sunday timeframe. I suspect this would be more of Sleet/Ice, possibly mixed with some snow depending on how strong a CAD that can set up. There is just so many different waves flying around that I think it’s going to be really difficult for the models to latch onto specific storms until about 3 days. The CAD signal is definitely there starting Friday.
 
12z GEFS thru next Wednesday
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Chazwin said:
If and it’s a BIG if, the models are trying to latch onto a trend now, it really wouldn’t shock me at all if areas even east of the mountains get into a winter storm in the Saturday/Sunday timeframe. I suspect this would be more of Sleet/Ice, possibly mixed with some snow depending on how strong a CAD that can set up. There is just so many different waves flying around that I think it’s going to be really difficult for the models to latch onto specific storms until about 3 days. The CAD signal is definitely there starting Friday.
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Still plenty of time for this to produce a big SE winter storm. The east trends are just beginning as has been the theme all winter. Things look good west of really Nashville right now but all it'll take is a couple more pulls east and we are in business.
 
lexxnchloe said:
very disappointing with everyone talking about snow and cold. Usually the southern part of a snow shield doesnt actualy occur.
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As things stand now much of the precip on the south of the heaviest snow accumulations shown here is probably ice and hopefully sleet. One of my main concerns all along is someone gets a major ice storm followed my bitter cold temperatures.
 
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