Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[WEATHERBOYROY]

pretty big swing south east with surface temps....

 

[KyloG]

Past 3 runs of 0/12z ICON.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

We might see some meh trends with 12z stuff, NAM went West with the TPV A bit

Something tells me the other models won’t be looking at the long range NAM for any help

 

[Myfrotho704_]

lol the ICON is close to a 2 day ice event for CAD areas

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Yikes

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Past 3 runs of 0/12z ICON.

View attachment 72673

And that’s why ice is coming out of nowhere, yay

 

[Ollie Williams]

You mean something like this one? While I'd have preferred a solution to still be on the table from that 02/03 12z run, the placement of the TPV on that run was further east than now appears even remotely possible. Something resembling this 18z run is still plausible Saturday-Sunday.
View attachment 72662

We're not getting this look again.

 

[Deleted member 1449]

The ICON is a significant freezing rain event for the CAD areas for sure.

 

[ryan1234]

Unfortunately, we are well overdue for a significant ZR storm. I can't even remember when the last one was... 2002? At least for CLT and RAH.

 

[Rain Cold]

The ICON is a significant freezing rain event for the CAD areas for sure.

If these trends keep up, it's going to be really bad. CAD is almost always going to be undermodeled at this range.

 

[iGRXY]

If these trends keep up, it's going to be really bad. CAD is almost always going to be undermodeled at this range.

Being in the low to mid 30's this far out and the ICON can have a warm bias at this range. Not a good sign. I have feared for days we would go away from a snowstorm and move towards an ICE storm in the CAD areas.

 

[Shaggy]

If these trends keep up, it's going to be really bad. CAD is almost always going to be undermodeled at this range.

It has me at 34 so unless its under modeled I'd be safe from the ZR. If it keeps trending colder then we all have some major problems coming with ZR.

 

[Stephenb888]

I feel like we (atleast upstate Sc) is overdue for a massive snow storm as well lol

Unfortunately, we are well overdue for a significant ZR storm. I can't even remember when the last one was... 2002? At least for CLT and RAH.

 

[Storm5]

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[Flo]

The ICON is a significant freezing rain event for the CAD areas for sure.

Sry for the dumb question. But where are the cad areas?

 

[Stephenb888]

I believe (correct me if I’m wrong) NE GA, Upstate SC, and parts of North Carolina,

Sry for the dumb question. But where are the cad areas?

 

[BullCityWx]

Sry for the dumb question. But where are the cad areas?

In the Carolinas, from GSP to RDU N&W.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[GaWx]

12Z GFS starting outs good as it appears it will be coming in even colder than the 6Z/0Z as of the very early maps.

 

[ryan1234]

Sry for the dumb question. But where are the cad areas?

During the strongest CAD it can go well past the ATL metro and into AL. Although, I am not sure how often that translates to winter wx for those areas. Especially western GA and AL.