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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

Webberweather53 said:
Last 3 12z Euro runs.

View attachment 72512


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This run actually improves a lot after this frame, but I'm worried that trend which we're also seeing in the GEFS & GFS at this timeframe ~3-5 days out, about when perhaps these trends have some meaning, might drag the TPV even further west in later runs if it continues
 
so.....how about another EURO solution?? I have a feeling what is going to happen (well hell..possibly) LOL notice how the last 3 runs the energy over BC is coming "detached" and closing off as an ULL?? EURO has been pulling away from that quicker and quicker the last few runs...look at the difference this run so far.
00z vs 12z

00z EURO 2.png12z euro 2.png
 
deltadog03 said:
so.....how about another EURO solution?? I have a feeling what is going to happen (well hell..possibly) LOL notice how the last 3 runs the energy over BC is coming "detached" and closing off as an ULL?? EURO has been pulling away from that quicker and quicker the last few runs...look at the difference this run so far.
00z vs 12z

View attachment 72516View attachment 72517
Click to expand...

Atleast these changes should help

776C1942-A03B-44EE-8133-8D4E4C3322C0.gif
 
deltadog03 said:
so.....how about another EURO solution?? I have a feeling what is going to happen (well hell..possibly) LOL notice how the last 3 runs the energy over BC is coming "detached" and closing off as an ULL?? EURO has been pulling away from that quicker and quicker the last few runs...look at the difference this run so far.
00z vs 12z

View attachment 72516View attachment 72517
Click to expand...


Big difference in 12Z Doc. It actually looks like a lot more than a ? step!
 
It splits tpv into 2 pieces lol. Am I seeing that right? Ill sign up for this and take a shot. Better than whole enchilada going to NW and dyeing out
 
There has been literally zero consistency from one Euro run to another lately. Each new run basically reverses the trend of the previous one flipping wildly from shoving the TPV towards Ontario or holding it back over SK and Manitoba.

Watch tonight's 0z Euro go back to garbage again like it has the past few days.

1612722625752.png


1612722634872.png

1612722642408.png
 
deltadog03 said:
so.....how about another EURO solution?? I have a feeling what is going to happen (well hell..possibly) LOL notice how the last 3 runs the energy over BC is coming "detached" and closing off as an ULL?? EURO has been pulling away from that quicker and quicker the last few runs...look at the difference this run so far.
00z vs 12z
Click to expand...

Greater separation... but we continue to trend of having no discernable trends with anything in the MR/LR...

Except moisture .. we got plenty of moisture...

The separation if a trend here forced the TpV further SE on the flanks of higher heights in between... we're not done with these wild shifts just yet
 
Yeah I would say the Euro looks fine actually at 144. I was thinking earlier that there was some differences too.

Last night's run had a much stronger ridge near the same time period. This one doesn't.
 
What happened with all the arctic Air we was supposed to get this week, to help with this storm?

Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
 
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