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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

Briefly glancing at soundings from the 00z ICON in the interior SE, seems like a lot of sleet vs ZR. Coasts/SE GA look icy though.
 
There is going to be another Wintry storm this run, but enough changes.. to likely look different vs 12. lets see.
 
Ouch. MS, SC, GA, (even ATL) hit with maybe ice. Northern AL too.
 
Not what ya wanna see you're rooting against the ZR. I dont think this is nearly as bad as the Icon though with the cold funneling, but would have to analyze everything again.
 
NAsty ice storm from me north and east at 6z to 12z TUE....not quite as cold, and high is strong (MB Wise) but a smidge north vs 12z run
 
So the Icon, CMC, and Euro have a similar solution on the same day?
 
GSP might would get creamed here. Midlands of SC is saved(versus what seems to be here in southern ga/gsp at least) by the low's track and the high trying to retreat. Charlotte looks to get hit.. Southern GA could be dicey too as their in the heavier precip as the low gets cranking. Hopefully someone has the ice maps in a bit.
 
EURO lays the hammer...Also SFC low is further east and a little more realistic....so far, the high is there...a little slower to build in...around the same strength...BUT I do like the H5 look a bit better....Also, Sunday was close for something to get going as well. 2 parter?
 
That map would be tons worse if the high was clinched down like what the ICON shows. So take that ice map from the Euro with a grain of salt with the Icon's overall performance recently. The idea is there.
 
All in all somewhat consistent from the 12z run.. a little slower with the high building in, but we can worry about that later. H5 TPV was a little slower and a smidge north, but nothing too extreme..lol
 
Shawn said:
That map would be tons worse if the high was clinched down like what the ICON shows. So take that ice map from the Euro with a grain of salt with the Icon's overall performance recently.
Click to expand...
Well, I think the ICON shows the more potential and I tend to believe it with it being a strong (mid 1040's MB) high in there. EURO would be just as bad if in there 6-12 hours earlier.
 
I don't have severe parameters.. but right behind it could possibly be some wind with another system? If you know what I mean..... wind + zr = bad bad. but can't be sure with these maps.
 
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