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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

UKIE is a torch for all intents and purposes compared to other models. Super cold air hovers in the northern areas of country through next Sunday run verbatim.

Has the PV close to the CMC position.
While the UKMET is undoubtedly warmer, it in no way places the TPV anywhere near Idaho as the CMC does. It's NW of the GFS position, but considering the struggles models are having with that TPV placement, it's not the train wreck of the CMC and could easily trend better. Whew!
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Greensboro has avg BN for Dec,Jan and now Feb is like -2 to date. Weve had 4 seperate snow events and barely at the 1 -1.5 total snow accum here at house.
I remind myself daily of how miserable I was certain this winter would be. So this is winning to me minus the snow dept so far. I usually have a decent feel and start deciding around Feb 15th if its time to throw in the towel. Usually we can see the last 2 weeks of Feb in model world] and make a decent educated guess if its over or any hope to stay in game.
 
Remember that time we thought it was going to be cold next week...then it was just pushed back a little and it was going to be cold the 10th through the 15th...



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I believe as late as last Tuesday the gfs was showing a high of 12 degrees for White House today. Reality is going to be 36-38 degrees. Parts of eastern middle Tennessee got crushed again last night which is getting harder to watch with each system missing us and only about a month left of a possible good snow.
 
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This won’t work . This is well west of the gfs


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EURO closing off that energy near and NW of pac NW. I think the faster it does that the Further South and EAST our TPV can get. Its further south this run so far.
 
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