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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

The Euro is going to have some front end CAD type weather in NC but the actual system looks like it's going to run inland. The SE ridge is stronger compared to the GFS.

Edit: I take that back some. Looks like it's icy long enough to be nasty in NC.
 
This looks fun, and by fun, I mean not really (the ice storm lasts for a while once it starts):

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I'm guessing that with a 1040 HP, this is most likely ice further south too.

But it's near day 10, so we'll see what the coming days bring.
 
This looks fun, and by fun, I mean not really (the ice storm lasts for a while once it starts):

View attachment 72177

I'm guessing that with a 1040 HP, this is most likely ice further south too.

But it's near day 10, so we'll see what the coming days bring.
The euro for sure trended back colder overall that run, hopefully it will again tonight.
 
What I'm seeing today are a trend towards the lower heights in Alaska and the vortex in Canada splitting further apart. Thusly, this SHOULD trend with higher heights filling in between the two... Which even might see a merger of the -NAO block and the Ridge off the West Coast... This in theory should shove the Canadian Vortex back east and maybe a little more south in future runs... Kinda been the trend especially with the -NAO this year
 
The JMA looks mighty good at day five. It also has that record-breaking 1062 high into Montana that we've seen show up on some epic runs over the past few days.
View attachment 72178

The vortex is too far NW here verbatim for what many would like to see. Need it to be over SE Ontario, far southern Quebec, or New England
 
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