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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th

The 6Z has the cold front clearing the Apps by 1pm Friday instead of 1am Saturday like 0z. It's good to see it's not being pushed back yet. The Euro is terrible but is seeming to fold to the GFS lately.

much better run of the GFS here on the 6z. As you mentioned the front pushes through earlier. Good trend. Let’s hope this weekend is a continuation of this and today’s 12z Euro heads this way.
 
There is plenty of potential, the chances the models are right with the timing or the number of S/W's in the very active pattern in this range is low....that said the models are all still very much kicking us while we are down. We just got to hope that the models had it right a few days ago when they hammered us....06Z GFS was a bit better.....
 
GFS got us into this mess now it needs to get us out.

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Why do we have to keep wobbling back and forth like a drunkard. Pick one way to trend and stay with it. The vortex being over western Ontario is literally the worst place it could be in. Not far enough SE to give us a real piece of cold air but too close so that we can’t warm up & avoid cold rain. Argh
 
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Why do we have to keep wobbling back and forth like a drunkard. Pick one way to trend and stay with. The vortex being over western Ontario is literally the worst place it could be in. Not far enough SE to give us a real piece of cold air but too close so that we can’t warm up & avoid cold rain. Argh

Haha...I know, pick a side.
 
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