Stormlover
Member
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Wintry King Kong Winter Storm Potential Feb 13th-16th
- Thread starter deltadog03
- Start date
Downeastnc
Member
Well the last years have sucked so thats why I'm so skeptical I will say this year us already better than last 3 years at least I got a coating of snow
Doc is running and maybe some slight improvements so far?
a little colder in CAD areas early SAT AM
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
The ECMWF has been consistently getting worse over the last several runs, this one is no different thru day 4. Vortex keeps backing away to the north
John1122
Member
Through 90 the Euro is way warmer west of the Apps vs all other modeling. Granted it has spent the last 3 days busting horribly high on the 2m temps behind this front. It was +9 degrees vs reality in West Tennessee today and around the same in Oklahoma yesterday.
you are right...its been slowly backing north with the last few runs.
Stormlover
Member
Euro seems to be the outlier still, like Memphis NWS said a couple of days ago.
eww...by hr120 this sucker is being sheared out and about to haul ASS out the ENE
Not to mention we went from a 1052mb high over Iowa a few runs ago...now its around 1046MB
Wow! Rain even into Central Mississippi on the 0Z Euro. As a matter of fact, the Euro tracks through Southeast MS. Maybe the eastern SE could make a run towards severe weather within the next few model runs?
Clem282340
Member
So icon the only model showing ice east of the apps I guess it on an island all alone
Brent
Member
Yikes this is close to severe weather lol 
Well, congrats to the Ohio Valley on this one. storms maybe in GA this run and Carolinas...well, cool rain. West of there you have a shot. Euro almost does shut out AL tho as well.
We have also lost about 6mb on the high and it's not anchored in for us. Starting to see a little more consistency with the models now
We have also lost about 6mb on the high and it's not anchored in for us. Starting to see a little more consistency with the models now
I would be curious to see my sounding from the euro...lol
John1122
Member
The EURO is 25 degrees warmer over my area with that cutter vs all other modeling being south/east and much colder. I'll be absolutely stunned if it doesn't cave back to them over the next 48 hours. It's struggled big time this winter season on this side of the Apps. I can't think of a single event back to November 30th where it scooped the GFS/GGem/V16.
I don't know what's happened to it to cause it to swing so wildly all winter season.
I don't know what's happened to it to cause it to swing so wildly all winter season.
Stormlover
Member
look at the ice at memphis 1.31 in 
