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Pattern July

Extremely heavy rates up to 4” per NWS. North-west NC is getting nailed.
 
Going to need a Flash Flood Warning for Watauga, Ashe and Alleghany.
 
Hrrr gets a loosely organized QLCS tomorrow afternoon in NC, also has the LP in NC which may enhance wind shear just a bit, And adds potential to that random vortex that pops up which adds to the damaging wind threat
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
Hrrr gets a loosely organized QLCS tomorrow afternoon in NC, also has the LP in NC which may enhance wind shear just a bit, And adds potential to that random vortex that pops up which adds to the damaging wind threat
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?
 
Tarheel1 said:
Getting excited about tomorrows rain chances!
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I'd like to but I've seen this movie. Tomorrow's choices for fail are the front gets here too soon and the storms fire to the east, storms fire to the west and become outflow dominant so its wind and stratiform around here as the line reorganizes the the east. The line breaks up a bit from being linear and gets more of a line segment/weak supercell look and I am in the middle

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Should be good coverage tomorrow but it's also convective so there will be holes..... let's hope Greenville, SC, Harnett Co, NC and southern Wake Co aren't in those holes

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SD said:
I'd like to but I've seen this movie. Tomorrow's choices for fail are the front gets here too soon and the storms fire to the east, storms fire to the west and become outflow dominant so its wind and stratiform around here as the line reorganizes the the east. The line breaks up a bit from being linear and gets more of a line segment/weak supercell look and I am in the middle

Sent from my SM-G975U using Tapatalk
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Looking at CAM's this seems somewhat probable..... unfortunately
 
Rain cold...aleet aleet dark cloud on the horizon alert
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Perfect visualization of the seabreeze and its cleansing effect on the atmosphere. The first pic is just in front of the breeze middle is right along the wind shift and the pic to the right is the clear blue sky.
 

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SD said:
Rain cold...aleet aleet dark cloud on the horizon alert
641c0bac412c350d5e4ce8c4dfc8f5b4.jpg


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Watch the efficiency at which it dissipates as works into the air sink zone.
 
SD said:
Nailed itView attachment 21230
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Meanwhile, the ones near 95 have been just happily redeveloping and tracking over virtually the same areas. This happens far too often to be merely chance and happenstance.
 
Rain Cold said:
Meanwhile, the ones near 95 have been just happily redeveloping and tracking over virtually the same areas. This happens far too often to be merely chance and happenstance.
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Well I was going to ----- about Phoenix being under a severe tstorm watch. Then I looked at their June and July so far... good for them

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Plenty of storms near me, but nothing has come over the house yet.
 
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Ended up getting a little storm last night. Some thunder and heavy rain that lasted about 5 minutes. Looks like a better shot at storms today.
 
Slight risk for half of NC today. Of course, it splits Wake like every storm and snow map does. Looks like I am right on the marginal/slight line.

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It was really overcast here this morning. I was wondering if we were going to get any fuel to spark storms today, but the sun is out now.
 
Nice line of storms from Durham to Sanford. Just got a special weather statement about it. Will it move through and cause things to stabilize or become even more unstable? The weather channel app has the big stuff coming here between 3:30 and 4:00.
 
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