July Surprise!

[Myfrotho704_]

Hrrr is showing these storms later being around 50kft tall and normally it’s often higher than that, so that’s impressive, pretty good look To these storms today, wouldn’t shock me off we get a loosely organized cluster of storms with a stratiform region later

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

This forecast is screaming nowcast for who sees the worst of these storms.. lots of instability to work with but I think outflow boundaries will be the show of the day .. you get into an entanglement with them and you’re going to have a fun day

 

[ryan1234]

Good luck to everyone today. I will probably sit this one out. I know how this is most likely to play out. Raleigh will do this fine, CLT will miss out just in about every direction. Outflows will be around, but won't do anything other than cool it down 20 degrees thereby prohibiting thunderstorm development. (CLT metro.) Le sigh.

 

[smast16]

11z, 12z, and 14z shows me right down the middle of a 7-10 split. The proverbial Hot dog down the hallway.

The writing is on the wall for me. See ya all tomorrow.

 

[SD]

Hrrr is showing these storms later being around 50kft tall and normally it’s often higher than that, so that’s impressive, pretty good look To these storms today, wouldn’t shock me off we get a loosely organized cluster of storms with a stratiform region later

Actually have some ML LRs showing on the meso analysis today.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Thicc sbcape

 

[SD]

Drycon really looks good

I have this weird feeling, I think it's called optimism

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Goodness

 

[SD]

Yo @Myfrotho704 MCSzilla on the GFS


Look at these dews in the midwest we will be firing off clusters daily

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Really shocked it’s not extended further south but they probably care more about ND/MN rn, lol

 

[ryan1234]

Really shocked it’s not extended further south but they probably care more about ND/MN rn, lol View attachment 44375

Nah, I called that this morning. Raleigh always gets theirs. Bet on it.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hrrr looks like a loosely organized MCS

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Well more of a big multicell cluster but still this looks real good

 

[SD]

Well more of a big multicell cluster but still this looks real goodView attachment 44378

Sweet Jesus pants tent

 

[RainlessSnowless & Grumpy]

Well more of a big multicell cluster but still this looks real goodView attachment 44378

I get screwed so its probably accurate.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hrrr shows DCAPE around 1000-1200 later with those storms, wouldn’t shock me if we see a handful of warnings

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[LickWx]

95 dew 74 heat index 106 at RDU!!! Great summer day , now if we get some widespread storms today would be the best day this summer yet.

 

[FortMillSCWx]

Charlotte 94.1/ 78/111 Temp/Dew/Ugh

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Interesting these storms seem like they could be widespread but a low chance of severe watch? Maybe they won’t be as intense as they look ... but I’m skeptical

 

[BHS1975]

Interesting these storms seem like they could be widespread but a low chance of severe watch? Maybe they won’t be as intense as they look ... but I’m skeptical

If a watch goes up we’ll get nothing.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[SD]

Rut roh

 

[Webberweather53]

Rut roh
View attachment 44383

Annndddd it’s gone

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Walmart better hurry up with my damn tripod, they said it would be here between yesterday and today, of course there last minute when storms are close

 

[RBR71]

Annndddd it’s gone

Well the radar looks better than any frame of that hrrrrrrrr run, so I'd say you still have a shot....

 

[Myfrotho704_]

These storms to my north have nice pileus caps

 

[jovialweather]

Annndddd it’s gone

 

[norcarolinian]

Constant thunder but still dry here and not a leaf moving...

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Probably gonna see good stuff get going here once OFBs collide

 

[norcarolinian]

And the bottom fell out. Pouring here. And much needed.

 

[smast16]

Rain in Kernersville. Guess @SD doesn't want to be friends anymore.

 

[Rain Cold]

Rut roh
View attachment 44383

Hrrrrrrr seems like it does this quite a lot. It shows nothing for the late frames. Then, as you get into it's medium range, all kinds of snow and storms and hurricanes show up. Then as you get into it's near term range, everything disappears again.

 

[SD]

Well since all my rain falls on computer models and not in reality

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Nice storm near statesville

 

[smast16]

Well since all my rain falls on computer models and not in reality
View attachment 44390

Same can be said about our snow.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Naw shows a full on MCS, lol, seems to do stuff like this the day of

 

[ryan1234]

You can already see how this is playing out. Raleigh/Triad are golden. Storms firing all around. Then go to GSP radar, it's like a dome is over Charlotte. Little to no development. The NAM and are HRRR are on crack, at least for Charlotte.

 

[Shaggy]

Rut roh
View attachment 44383

Good thing I never had a chance today. Sorry its trending away from you. Yesterday I said my yard was on the cusp and after 2 days well into the 90s with scorching sun it's now on the other side of that cusp. I'll be looking at a 90% brown yard if I dont see rain In the next 2 to 3 days.

 

[SD]

Good thing I never had a chance today. Sorry its trending away from you. Yesterday I said my yard was on the cusp and after 2 days well into the 90s with scorching sun it's now on the other side of that cusp. I'll be looking at a 90% brown yard if I dont see rain In the next 2 to 3 days.

That sucks tomorrow looks good down your way

 

[Shaggy]

That sucks tomorrow looks good down your way

Yeah then only truly green spots I still have are the ditch bottom and near the little garden that's seeing water when I water the garden. It's going south quickly.