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July Fry 2021

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I think today made it like ten out of twelve with rain here and I'm not counting showers. Gonna side with Larry and say Ill be surprised if it gets really hot.
 
SD said:
Gfs which is notoriously high at 2m in the extended is hot
View attachment 86888
But it's dirty on the eastern side of the ridge and maybe a little stronger with the trough off the NE
View attachment 86889

Better convective chance and potential debris clouds = not as hot
Click to expand...
but i thought the GFS always corrects and inches away from really hot temps?

I would like a good Ridge Rider once this summer though. Those are some of the best.
 
smast16 said:
but i thought the GFS always corrects and inches away from really hot temps?

I would like a good Ridge Rider once this summer though. Those are some of the best.
Click to expand...
It's typically too hot in the extended. I know there was some issue with soil type and the feedback on 2m temps but that seems to have been corrected some in recent upgrades. It's not showing 110 everyday like it did a few years ago but it still loves to show right around 100 as you get away from D0
 
Everyone's "favorite" lol, the all-knowing Maxar, says in this morning's 15 day forecast that these are the hottest days for selected cities as the SE is hotter today:

KATL: 95 on 8/2
KRDU: 95 on 7/31 and 8/4
Memphis: 97 on 7/31 and 8/2
KDFW: 101 on 7/25-8, 8/1-2

Anyone want to do an over or under vs these forecasts for the hottest during the period through 8/4?
 
SD said:
Gfs which is notoriously high at 2m in the extended is hot
View attachment 86888
But it's dirty on the eastern side of the ridge and maybe a little stronger with the trough off the NE
View attachment 86889

Better convective chance and potential debris clouds = not as hot
Click to expand...
GaWx said:
Lol! They're saying the fry zones are in the Plains. Midwest, and Pac NW with the SE, NE, and far SW the least likely to fry though the next two weeks. They have KATL's hottest near 93, for example, which is only ~+3 vs normal. Memphis may be a target. Also, DFW should get some low 100s as has been mentioned by others.
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That could atleast give me rain??
 
GaWx said:
Everyone's "favorite" lol, the all-knowing Maxar, says in this morning's 15 day forecast that these are the hottest days for selected cities as the SE is hotter today:

KATL: 95 on 8/2
KRDU: 95 on 7/31 and 8/4
Memphis: 97 on 7/31 and 8/2
KDFW: 101 on 7/25-8, 8/1-2

Anyone want to do an over or under vs these forecasts for the hottest during the period through 8/4?
Click to expand...

They seem good to me. It's hard to find a lot of support for extreme 100+ stuff for Mem, Atl, Rdu even 95-100 is in the upper percent of the ensemble spreads.

That said 3-7 days of mid to possibly upper 90s is still going to stink
 
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