July Fry 2021

[Metwannabe]

They seem good to me. It's hard to find a lot of support for extreme 100+ stuff for Mem, Atl, Rdu even 95-100 is in the upper percent of the ensemble spreads.

That said 3-7 days of mid to possibly upper 90s is still going to stink

Yep and with all the rains/soil moisture, low level moisture and heat indices will suck

 

[SD]

Gfs keeps the ridge axis west and energy in the NW flow moving through
But it also moves in hot 850s

 

[SD]

Lol north Atlantic problems. Highs 95+ or 85-90

 

[smast16]

Gfs keeps the ridge axis west and energy in the NW flow moving through View attachment 86904
But it also moves in hot 850s
View attachment 86905

Ngl, you had me excited in the first half.

And then you came in with the cold bucket in the last part.

 

[Rain Cold]

Lol north Atlantic problems. Highs 95+ or 85-90
View attachment 86906

Persistence has been for better troughing north and east, so I would tend to go with that for the time being.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This is gonna suck

 

[Avalanche]

Gfs keeps the ridge axis west and energy in the NW flow moving through View attachment 86904
But it also moves in hot 850s
View attachment 86905

No matter what it seems the NW portion of the state finds a way to break the cap and get a storm or two

 

[SD]

Ngl, you had me excited in the first half.

And then you came in with the cold bucket in the last part.

Ha if the gfs verified I wouldn't be too worried about big heat. You offset the warm 850s with a decent CU field and better storm chances. Honestly that gfs setup is one where we could get a dying mcs that hangs around most of the day and we are in the 70s/low 80s

 

[SD]

?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

RCs step down process might be legit

 

[SD]

RCs step down process might be legit View attachment 86912View attachment 86913

Lol close the book on summer

 

[SD]

Can't get this in January

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Can't get this in January View attachment 86915

Sounds about right for this Summer.

 

[Shaggy]

These cooler temps the last few days have been welcome.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Rain Cold]

RCs step down process might be legit View attachment 86912View attachment 86913

Lol beautiful H5. Hit me up with a 1044 HP over OH and we'll be in bidness.

 

[smast16]

Ha if the gfs verified I wouldn't be too worried about big heat. You offset the warm 850s with a decent CU field and better storm chances. Honestly that gfs setup is one where we could get a dying mcs that hangs around most of the day and we are in the 70s/low 80s

You wouldn't be worried about those warm 850s crapping, I mean capping, convection?

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Damn GFS had some low 70 high temperatures in the long range ?? wow that would be amazing

 

[SD]

You wouldn't be worried about those warm 850s crapping, I mean capping, convection?

Without a trigger absolutely with a wave aloft not as much.

 

[jackendrickwx]

Damn GFS had some low 70 high temperatures in the long range ?? wow that would be amazing

Just so we’re all clear this is at hour 318 and is of course driven by rain and cloud cover.