Eps mean isn't terrible here a few days of low 90s but the 90th % is slowly increasing to near 100. Mean qpf is like 1.75 that's suboptimal for 2 weeks
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July Fry 2021
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Oops
I don’t like
Avalanche
Member
Boring weather day. No sun, no rain, just clouds.
Avalanche
Member
Ugly 
Need to get Canada cold first. Step-down process
You can see the progression of that ridge would eventually lead it to setting up off the northeast coast… again like other modeling has been showing right in time as hurricane season begins to ramp up. I really have a strong feeling that the southeast coast is gonna take a hit this year.
The GEFS and EPS have both been warm biased in the SE US, especially the GEFS and more-so in the wetter areas (as per the bias corrected maps posted below). Therefore, I'm still not worried about a widespread SE heatwave anytime soon, especially down in my area as wet soils are the best insurance against heatwaves per history. The hottest days may actually be just before this period. A few days in row of a few degrees warmer than normal would mean a few typical SE hot days but not even close to a heatwave #July-NoFry:
That's an impressive pv lobe in Canada. Might have some frost up there
BHS1975
Member
What is Maxar saying?!
Lol! They're saying the fry zones are in the Plains. Midwest, and Pac NW with the SE, NE, and far SW the least likely to fry though the next two weeks. They have KATL's hottest near 93, for example, which is only ~+3 vs normal. Memphis may be a target. Also, DFW should get some low 100s as has been mentioned by others.
cd2play
Member
We’ll get our 8 to 10 above normal in December.
That it ain't walking weather
18z gfs briefly maxes out 850s at 24c in parts of NC but it's upper pattern continues to inch away from the hot 0z run
iGRXY
Member
We will probably have maybe 2-3 days of low 90’s in the western Carolinas, probably mid 90’s the closer you are to the coastal plain and I95 but I doubt it gets as ugly as the long range models are showing and doubt it last very long at all.
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