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July Fries (2 Viewers)

metwannabe

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So there's this


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I gotta think it favors the east side of the highlighted area, higher concentrations, and then those outflow boundaries will set off more scattered on the west side. Still going to be some prolific rain makers.

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GaWx

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Looking for a model that raises some modicum of winter hope (and this is not intended, at all, as discussion or crystal ball gazing or any semblance of personal thoughts (and it certainly is not July weather but is posted here in response to other recently related posts)) ... so... here is one that most should like (though not supported by many other models) ... in other words, just for kicks on a miserably humid and hot July Sunday afternoon ...

View attachment 5517
I'll have a lot more to say about this July JAMSTEC forecst for DJF as soon as I get time to put together a post in the winter outlook thread.
 

GaWx

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Larry,
I was model shopping for kicks ... :eek:
Phil

... and to keep an otherwise boring time of year going ... :cool:
I just finished looking at and analyzing all of the previous years’ July Jamstec DJF SE US temperature forecasts (11 of them) as well as the respective Niño 3.4 forecasts for DJF, which are all at the website. I think this analysis is worth a post. But I need time to put it together. Hopefully by tomorrow.

Thanks for posting it as I otherwise wasn’t even thinking about it.
 

pcbjr

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I just finished looking at and analyzing all of the previous years’ July Jamstec DJF SE US temperature forecasts (11 of them) as well as the respective Niño 3.4 forecasts for DJF, which are all at the website. I think this analysis is worth a post. But I need time to put it together. Hopefully by tomorrow.

Thanks for posting it as I otherwise wasn’t even thinking about it.
Larry,
You are absolutely amazing ... ;)
Best,
Phil
~~~~~~~~~~~
and BTW ... if that Jamstec ends up anywhere near right, Tony just might get his 3 feet and all would then be good ... :D
 

metwannabe

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Damn that got crazy. Lots of limbs and trees down

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Yeah these storms are fun to watch, they are basically stationary and building in all directions. This one to my south was 4.5 miles to the good stuff almost an hour ago now still just over 2 miles. How much rain you get?


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metwannabe

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Some 2.5 - 3" totals starting to show up just to my south, feel like a flood advisory will go out shortly. It's not weakening at all

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Finally got some good rain for the first time in what seemed to be a while today and this evening, would be surprised if we didn't get around 2".

On a side note, although it looks like it could be a bit off, gonna average low 90s for July. Wow. Not out of the woods yet on real heat for this summer.
 

whamby

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Now 8 days of BN temps for Chattanooga... nothing too extraordinary, but lows in the 60s after that long stretch of 70+ lows is refreshing. Nothing too hot showing up all the way through the first week of Aug.
 

whamby

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On a side note, crazy heat has been going on in Texas.. I guess Brent isn't there at the moment or he'd be talking about it... 109 twice in Dallas, 112 in Waco, 110 in Austin... That's some crazy heat. Feel sorry for those HS footballers about to start 2 a day practice in August. I guess they still do that now... some 'fond' memories from growing up playing texas high school football. Sadistic coaches, searing heat, friday night lights...
 
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