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Pattern July Fries

Brick Tamland said:
Wonder if these storms will miss me again tonight. I still think the totals on the models for this week are overdone. I know in winter everyone says cut the precip totals in half compared to what the models show.
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Im starting to really doubt tomorrow kinda sucks

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whamby said:
Frisco is weird.. I spent a year in the Bay area when I was a kid.. no earthquakes, but summer pool time was less than two weeks. And yeah, snowcapped peaks were a thing in the winter... above 3500 ft. Fogs, strangest weather phenom of my life, still haunting. John Carpenter had it right... those Pacific fogs had a life of their own.
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definitely the strangest weather I've seen... even Seattle last year when I went in August there was a little heat wave(for their standards), this has been plain weird. The sun actually cleared out the fog today for a few hours which is supposedly rare... and already its coming back into the bay on the camera. Just odd.

It's really too bad it doesn't snow here in SF though... think of the sledding on the hills :eek:
 
Brick Tamland said:
Sorry, I am confused about what you meant.
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That's my fault for typing out a thought and not thinking about how it read. I've lost a little enthusiasm about rain chances tomorrow which sucks. I still think we are looking at big totals it may be pushed back more toward late tomorrow night through Wednesday

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forecast low tonight is 68, it's currently 73. Feels pretty nice actually. Might get another sub-70 low. Last night was 66. Hey, can't complain about NORMAL Chattanooga Summer weather for a change.
 
These storms aren't playing around the last 2 days.

1 inch of rain since 205am wind gust to 46 as well

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SD said:
These storms aren't playing around the last 2 days.

1 inch of rain since 205am wind gust to 46 as well

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Problem is they are very scattered/isolated as usual. That is why I don't see this being a widespread big rain maker here.
 
I’m sure the FFW for most of Central and Eastern NC, was a mistake by the NWS offices!:cool:
 
It's been going back and forth from cloudy to sun here today. Maybe we'll get some storms later if we get enough sun, but they will still probably be very scattered or isolated.
 
Looks like Shawn's about to get in on the action!
 
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Brick Tamland said:
It's been going back and forth from cloudy to sun here today. Maybe we'll get some storms later if we get enough sun, but they will still probably be very scattered or isolated.
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That's what the weather people have been saying. I don't think anybody's calling for one big storm to sit over the state and dump torrential rain for 48 hours. They've been calling for scattered showers and storms with the potential for training. And because the water content of the atmosphere is so high, they should be able to efficiently produce heavy rain. So, you are correct -- scattered will be the nature of the rain, as virtually everyone has been saying.
 
I have a friend at Myrtle Beach who posted this on Facebook about 20 minutes ago.FB_IMG_1532368617300.jpg
 
Rain Cold said:
That's what the weather people have been saying. I don't think anybody's calling for one big storm to sit over the state and dump torrential rain for 48 hours. They've been calling for scattered showers and storms with the potential for training. And because the water content of the atmosphere is so high, they should be able to efficiently produce heavy rain. So, you are correct -- scattered will be the nature of the rain, as virtually everyone has been saying.
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And I am saying if it is going to be scattered and isolated storms, then there is no way the state gets widespread 3 to 6 inches of rain like the models have shown.
 
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Brick Tamland said:
And I am saying if it is going to be scattered and isolated storms, then there is no way the state gets widespread 3 to 6 inches of rain like the models have shown.
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I'll bet a good portion of the area will have picked up 3-6" when it's all said and done.
 
Rain Cold said:
I'll bet a good portion of the area will have picked up 3-6" when it's all said and done.
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The disturbance to the S of Wilmington right now means business. Im not sure if that gets far enough west to really get brick, cr, and myself. Along and east of 95 really looks to get pounded tonight

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Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Currently a big milk dud here. Action to the south and east though. It’s coming
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It collapsed to nothing! CLT area getting clobbered! Gastonia had a tornado warning earlier! I think the big wet is gonna be a big bust!
 
SD said:
The disturbance to the S of Wilmington right now means business. Im not sure if that gets far enough west to really get brick, cr, and myself. Along and east of 95 really looks to get pounded tonight

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It looks like it might, just barely...if it stays together.
 
Another slug of dud, dying outside of Columbia, as it heads towards me! The big “dud” underperforming today, not a drop!
 
Rain Cold said:
It looks like it might, just barely...if it stays together.
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I think this first area is probably going to die out a bit but the trailing stuff along 40 should make it. It looks like these storms might be on the front edge of a moisture surge with pwats increasing from the east. Hrrr and rap have pwats near 2.25 by midnight so I would expect new development in SE NC moving this way during the overnight.

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SD said:
I think this first area is probably going to die out. We will be waiting on new development to the south in a couple of hours. HRRR and RAP have pwats near 2.25 here by midnight. I keep thinking I want to see more on radar but i went to bed last night with a nearly empty radar and things turned out well

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Yeah, these disturbances are going to rotate through over the course of the night. We should see some additional development later on.
 
metwannabe said:
Another .62 overnight so 1.58 total thus far..... SD still winning but today may be my day
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I know the radar presentation is going to change as we go through the day, but the NWS needs to change the Flood Watch to a Dry Slot Watch for The middle zones!
 
Like I thought, very isolated with the big rain amounts so far.

Meanwhile, here is video of the Myrtle Beach waterspout that came on shore yesterday. I can't believe how the people are just oblivious to what is going on. I would have been looking at it, too, but at some point you have to know when to get out of the way. It looks like people didn't even realize it was there.

 
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