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Pattern Jarring January

Holy...
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Yeah the CMC lol. If only it wasn't still far out in advance. Hopefully the Euro improves even more too.
 
I think there is going to be a storm next week sometime. Mon-We’d time frame. Just gotta iron out a few things.
 
Well GFS, EURO, and CMC all now have significant winter storms between Monday thru Wednesday in varying degrees that s not too shabby and GFS wasn't bad this run it's gonna wiggle a bit depending on how it comes together
 
malak05 said:
Well GFS, EURO, and CMC all now have significant winter storms between Monday thru Wednesday in varying degrees that s not too shabby and GFS wasn't bad this run it's gonna wiggle a bit depending on how it comes together
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Nah from what I saw the Euro still isn't on board, but it's 00z run took a big step in the right direction.
 
At least it's not squashed into oblivion, CMC and GFS have a storm, as long as Euro has one as well I'll take suppressed for now. Difference in suppressed storm and completely obliterated... so I say there is a chance

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malak05 said:
Well GFS, EURO, and CMC all now have significant winter storms between Monday thru Wednesday in varying degrees that s not too shabby and GFS wasn't bad this run it's gonna wiggle a bit depending on how it comes together
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Agreed. I'm not mad at the GFS or CMC run in this instance. Both show a lot of potential for my area.
 
1300m said:
This. The 00Z Euro just took a pretty significant step towards the GFS solution. The Euro is not locked in, and this is definitely still in play. I may sound like I am a snow weenie and always optimistic, but anyone who remembers me from last time knows that is definitely not the case lol.
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We don't mind weenies especially when facts are used to support weenie statements

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So is it safe to say that both the GFS and CMC have the same storm but just at a different time scale?
 
GaWx said:
For here in SE GA and nearby far S SC, there has been no period even remotely as promising for rare significant wintry precip POTENTIAL as the next week since 12/1989 and 1/1977. This next week has the makings of a once in several decade wintry period and it may not even be all from just one system. There is still the threat of at least a small amount of ZR between tomorrow afternoon and Fri AM. And then there is a threat of just about anything including a very rare accumulating snow chance for near or just after New Year's. Even Phil is not at all out of the game for next week! How often can that be said?

By the way, weak MJO left side of circle ftw as regards a cold SE!
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Larry - wasn’t the Feb 2010 snow a major event for the low country?
 
Ron Burgundy said:
Larry - wasn’t the Feb 2010 snow a major event for the low country?
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I need to clarify. Indeed, Feb 2010 was quite the major event as Stormsfury noted for the low country areas further N and NE of here. But note that I was referring to SE GA and nearby far S SC (say SAV metro), where it was wasn't at all a major event. The last major event for these areas was 12/1989. As Stormsfury noted, KSAV got 0.9" of SN. But even that was at the airport, which is 8-10 miles NW of the main city areas. Most of the city, itself, got hardly more than a dusting.
 
If anyone has any doubts about the ridiculously strong severe cold bias of the CMC over or near snowcover, hopefully this run will convince you.
 
GaWx said:
I need to clarify. Indeed, Feb 2010 was quite the major event as Stormsfury noted for the low country areas further N and NE of here. But note that I was referring to SE GA and nearby far S SC (say SAV metro), where it was wasn't at all a major event. The last major event for these areas was 12/1989. As Stormsfury noted, KSAV got 0.9" of SN. But even that was at the airport, which is 8-10 miles NW of the main city areas. Most of the city, itself, got hardly more than a dusting.
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Thanks Larry. We vacation on Fripp Island near Beaufort every year and I remember it being a big event down that way. Didn’t realize the cutoff was so sharp on the other side of the river!
 
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