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Pattern Jarring January

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Right or wrong i like. Gfs, Cmc on same page seems like
 
hartselleweather said:
If the high is weaker would it help not suppress the storm??
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This isn't like past cases (like 2/12/10 for example) in which a storm might be coming back in the future from suppression. The HP isn't the problem, the northern stream is and is likely going to shred any hope at a storm to pieces.
 
There's very little chance that the I-10 corridor sees two accumulating snow falls over the course of one winter. I'm by no means an expert, but the probability of such an occurrence seems to be minuscule.
 
I refuse to look at the gefs . I feel like our NC and SC friends . They watched their end of the week system die a slow death . Now here we are ....
 
I just want to see a storm form south of the Mason Dixon line while we have a 10 plus day stretch of super entrenched cold for once.

Funny how errie PA doesn't have this problem along with the rest of the upper midwest to NE. Errie had 60 inches of good ole fashioned lake effect for Santa .
 
NCSNOW said:
I just want to see a storm form south of the Mason Dixon line while we have a 10 plus day stretch of super entrenched cold for once.

Funny how errie PA doesn't have this problem along with the rest of the upper midwest to NE. Errie had 60 inches of good ole fashioned lake effect for Santa .
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gotta love Lake Erie :p All they need is the cold(which is easier there), the lake to be unfrozen, and the wind in a favorable direction
 
NCSNOW said:
I just want to see a storm form south of the Mason Dixon line while we have a 10 plus day stretch of super entrenched cold for once.

Funny how errie PA doesn't have this problem along with the rest of the upper midwest to NE. Errie had 60 inches of good ole fashioned lake effect for Santa .
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They don’t have to get 100/100 things right to get snow . They just need like 4 things to get right. The southeast needs everything to line up just right. That’s why we all chase it every winter , cause it’s rare down here
 
Round 3 likely to be a no go too outside of Eastern NC if even them.

Man, I'll just be real (and I was one of the ones that at least saw the ending effects of the big snow earlier this month) but if we get this cold snap (which while it hasn't been modeled as crazily by the GFS by the Euro suite, the Euro suite likes the idea of a major cold snap for the southeast) and come up with nothing winter wise, I'll be ready to move on from the 17/18 winter.
 
I just want to see a storm not do the typical precipitation dying out, low placement in the incorrect position, or cold air not advancing east fast enough for once on a rare occasion. I've absolutely reached the point of being convinced that it's now easier to get snow in places like New Orleans and Mobile than it is if you live in Georgia below Macon.
 
CentralGAColdFront said:
I just want to see a storm not do the typical precipitation dying out, low placement in the incorrect position, or cold air not advancing east fast enough for once on a rare occasion. I've absolutely reached the point of being convinced that it's now easier to get snow in places like New Orleans and Mobile than it is if you live in Georgia below Macon.
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I think it is actually
 
Hmm the big threat may be later next week. The CMC has the trough in much better position and the GFS still wants to drop down a powerhouse wave that eventually turns into a Miller B. I'm not staying up for it, but let's see if the Euro ha's the same general idea.
 
Just getting rooked by to much NS dominance. It's not so much these big HPS as it is the screwed up confluence over the NE every time we try and get a wave of energy to come by and amplify. As has been stated, no wsw wind because of the trough configuration up over the NE.
Thing I'm getting suprised by the most is the lack of upslope,nwfs for our mtns. Figured atleast a clipper or 2 would take a deep dive south in this pattern, but it's no Bueno so far.
 
NCSNOW said:
Just getting rooked by to much NS dominance. It's not so much these big HPS as it is the screwed up confluence over the NE every time we try and get a wave of energy to come by and amplify. As has been stated, no wsw wind because of the trough configuration up over the NE.
Thing I'm getting suprised by the most is the lack of upslope,nwfs for our mtns. Figured atleast a clipper or 2 would take a deep dive south in this pattern, but it's no Buenos so far.
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good post..
 
Where in the world are you getting 144 hour UKMET with details besides meteocentre? Wx.Graphics doesn't have it out yet on my end.
 
Arcc said:
Hmm the big threat may be later next week. The CMC has the trough in much better position and the GFS still wants to drop down a powerhouse wave that eventually turns into a Miller B. I'm not staying up for it, but let's see if the Euro ha's the same general idea.
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For sure not staying up for the can kicking day ten threat . So now our hope is in the pattern relax ..... great
 
Gfs is very cold through out the whole run. Great run
 
RollTide18 said:
I think it is actually
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Over the last few years, I would definitely say that it has. However, historically I would argue the exact opposite and even my grandparents have routinely said that we just don't get the cold weather associated storms around here like we used to in times past. I'm latitudinally on line with you, but it's insanely easier to get snow in Montgomery than it is in my location.
 
Shawn said:
Where in the world are you getting 144 hour UKMET with details besides meteocentre? Wx.Graphics doesn't have it out yet on my end.
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In general for day 6 it's pretty close with a broad area of low pressure a 150-200 miles offshore the Carolinas at day 6, if it's parent trough digs a little sooner and sharpens up we could have something. Of course it's still a long shot at this rate
 
Ukie has a 1013 off the NC coast 6 days. Little wide right for mby,but trough can easily be sharpened up and most likely will as we close in. Big take away for me is the cmc and the ukie end up developing this energy off the SE coast. Big difference from Thursday deal where it's been saying a big NO for past few days.
 
Someone posted on other board but it's true, erasing this past ,or what will officially be past debacle come Thursday from our minds. The ukie,cmc and perhaps gfs are right where we want 5 to 6 days out.
 
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